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« Brunell a Saint [David Elfin] | Main | Redskins lose Hackett [David Elfin] »

Hackett gains leverage [David Elfin]


San Francisco's reported signing of former Arizona receiver Bryant Johnson today leaves Seattle's D.J. Hackett, who visited the Redskins yesterday, as the clear choice for teams looking for a big and tall wideout. Hackett was in Tampa Bay today and will finish his East Coast swing with a stop in Carolina tomorrow.


The Redskins could use their second-round pick in next month's draft on a receiver like Hackett (assuming they finally use a first-rounder on a defensive lineman for the first time since they drafted Kenard Lang in 1997). But a rookie is always an unknown commodity. Remember the Redskins drafted receivers Desmond Howard and Michael Westbrook with top five picks and Taylor Jacobs in the second round and got little in return.


New coach Jim Zorn knows Hackett well from their four years together with the Seahawks. Hackett knows Zorn's offense. Unless the Redskins are planning on swinging a trade for some big-time player, they should spend some of their $7 million on cap space and sign Hackett.


-- David Elfin

Comments (6)

he lost some leverage to

afterall bryant johnson signed a cheap 1 year contract.


the possibility of hacket getting a big payday went down.

I really feel the Redskins need a tall receiver, but, before they decide to spend big money for one. They better consider their current salary cap and the contacts they have signed current young players to. Campbell's expires at the end of 2009, Rogers expires 2011, but, he can void the last 2 yrs. DT's Montgomery, Golston and LB R.McIntosh will be an unrestricted free agent after 2009. CB Rogers also, signed thru 2011 can also void his last 2 yrs of his contract. So, choices will have to be made. Which leads to DT Golston and LB McIntosh will be probably be released. LB Blades contract expires 2010. Which means to me, that the Redskins better stay with the draft and start saving their money for the future of this team to remain competitive. John M.

PROPOSED COMPENSATORY PICKS for 2008 DRAFT

THIRD ROUND
Washington (Derrick Dockery, $7 million per season, 16 GP/16 GS)
Cincinnati (Eric Steinbach, $6.971 million, 16/16)
Baltimore (Adalius Thomas, $6.9 million, 16/15)

FOURTH ROUND
Buffalo (Mike Gandy, $4.667 million, 16/16)
Baltimore (Tony Pashos, $4.7 million, 15/15)
Philadelphia (Donte Stallworth, $5.083 million, 16/9)
Green Bay (Ahman Green, $5.6 million, 6/5)
Tennessee (Drew Bennett, $5 million, 14/1) ? possibly a fifth- round pick
San Diego (Donnie Edwards, $4.5 million, 16/16) ? possibly a fifth- round pick

FIFTH ROUND
Philadelphia (Jeff Garcia, $4 million, 13/13, Pro Bowl)
N.Y. Giants (Visanthe Shiancoe, $3.6 million, 16/15) ? possibly a sixth- round pick

SIXTH ROUND
Indianapolis (Nick Harper, $3.133 million, 14/14)
Indianapolis (Dominic Rhodes, $3.75 million, 10/2)
Philadelphia (Roderick Hood $3 million, 16/16)
Miami (Damion McIntosh, $2.95 million, 15/15)
Indianapolis (Cato June, $3 million, 16/14)
Baltimore (Ovie Mughelli, $3 million, 16/7)
Cincinnati (Kevin Kaesviharn, $2.4 million, 16/3) ? possibly a seventh- round pick
Cincinnati (Kelley Washington, $2.5 million, 14/0) ? possibly a seventh- round pick

SEVENTH ROUND
Baltimore (Aubrayo Franklin, $2 million, 14/13) ? possibly a sixth- round pick
Carolina (Chris Draft, $1.358 million, 16/6)
Washington (Warrick Holdman, $1.375 million, 0/0, on IR all season)
Chicago (Justin Gage, $1 million, 16/8)
Cincinnati (Anthony Wright, $1.055 million, 4/0)
Chicago (Todd Johnson, $975,000, 16/1)
Buffalo (Andre Davis, $850,000, 14/8)
Chicago (Ian Scott, $1 million, 0/0, on IR all season)
Washington (Kenny Wright, $973,333, 7/1)
Carolina (Vinny Ciurciu, $966,667, 13/0)
Indianapolis (Mike Doss, $900,000, 8/1)
Atlanta (net-value comp; lost three for $9.567 million, 47/30 and one Pro Bowl; signed three for $4.964 million, 45/13)
Miami (non-compensatory pick)

As noted, the values of six of the comp picks fell near the cutoff points between rounds, so it wouldn?t surprise me if the comp picks for Bennett and Edwards were in the fifth round (either one of them or both), if the comp pick for Shiancoe was in the sixth round, if the comp picks for Kaesviharn and Washington were in the seventh round (again, either one of them or both), or if the comp pick for Franklin was in the sixth round. Of course, other projected picks could be off by more than one round if the NFL happened to change the formula or increase the cutoff points by significantly more or less than I projected.

Here are the qualifying players lost and signed (in order of value) for the 13 teams that I?m projecting will receive true comp picks ?

BALTIMORE
Lost ? Adalius Thomas, Tony Pashos, Ovie Mughelli, Aubrayo Franklin.
Signed ? None.

BUFFALO
Lost ? Nate Clements, London Fletcher, Mike Gandy, Andre Davis.
Signed ? Derrick Dockery, Langston Walker.

CAROLINA
Lost ? Chris Draft, Vinny Ciurciu.
Signed ? None.

CHICAGO
Lost ? Alfonso Boone, Justin Gage, Todd Johnson, Ian Scott.
Signed ? Anthony Adams.

CINCINNATI
Lost ? Eric Steinbach, Kevin Kaesviharn, Kelley Washington, Anthony Wright, Tony Stewart, Marcus Wilkins.
Signed ? None.

GREEN BAY
Lost ? Ahman Green, David Martin.
Signed ? Frank Walker.

INDIANAPOLIS
Lost ? Nick Harper, Dominic Rhodes, Cato June, Mike Doss.
Signed ? None.

MIAMI
Lost ? Damien McIntosh, David Bowens, Sammy Morris, Jeff Zgonina.
Signed ? Jay Feely, David Martin, Chris Liewinski.

N.Y. GIANTS
Lost ? Visanthe Shiancoe, Jay Feely, Frank Walker.
Signed ? Kawika Mitchell, Anthony Wright.

PHILADELPHIA
Lost ? Michael Lewis, Donte Stallworth, Jeff Garcia, Roderick Hood, Shawn Barber.
Signed ? Kevin Curtis, Ian Scott.

SAN DIEGO
Lost ? Donnie Edwards.
Signed ? None.

TENNESSEE
Lost ? Drew Bennett, Bobby Wade, Robaire Smith.
Signed ? Nick Harper, Justin Gage.

WASHINGTON
Lost ? Derrick Dockery, T.J. Duckett, Warrick Holdman, Kenny Wright.
Signed ? London Fletcher.


Anyone else who was lost or signed by one of those teams last offseason doesn?t qualify for the equation, for one reason or another.


If I?m wrong about any of the three bubble players (Chris Liewinski, Mike Doss and Marcus Wilkins) or any of the three players closes to the bubble (Vinny Ciurciu, Cameron Worrell and Paul Smith), that would affect the comp picks. Here?s what would happen in each instance ?

If Chris Liewinski does not qualify for the equation and Vinny Ciurciu and Mike Doss do qualify, Miami would get a seventh-round comp pick for Jeff Zgonina between Chicago?s pick for Justin Gage and Cincinnati?s pick for Anthony Wright, and Miami would not get a non-compensatory pick at the end of the seventh round.

If Chris Liewinski and Vinny Ciurciu do not qualify and Mike Doss does qualify, Miami would get a seventh-round comp pick for Jeff Zgonina between Chicago?s pick for Justin Gage and Cincinnati?s pick for Anthony Wright, Carolina would not receive a seventh-round comp pick for Ciurciu, and Miami would keep its non-compensatory pick at the end of the seventh round.

If Mike Doss does not qualify and Vinny Ciurciu and Chris Liewinski do qualify, Indianapolis would not receive a seventh-round comp pick for Doss, and St. Louis would receive a non-compensatory pick after Miami?s non-compensatory pick, in order to fill out the maximum number of picks.

If Vinny Ciurciu does not qualify and Mike Doss and Chris Liewinski do qualify, Carolina would not receive a seventh-round comp pick for Ciurciu, and St. Louis would receive a non-compensatory pick at the end of the seventh round, after Miami's non-compensatory pick.

If Mike Doss and Vinny Ciurciu do not qualify and Chris Liewinski does qualify,
Carolina would not receive a seventh-round comp pick for Ciurciu, Indianapolis would not receive a seventh-round comp pick for Doss, and St. Louis and the New York Jets would receive non-compensatory picks after Miami?s non-compensatory pick, in order to fill out the maximum number of picks.

If neither Chris Liewinski nor Mike Doss qualify and Vinny Ciurciu does qualify, Miami would get a seventh-round comp pick for Jeff Zgonina between Chicago?s pick for Justin Gage and Cincinnati?s pick for Anthony Wright, Indianapolis would not receive a seventh-round comp pick for Doss, and Miami would keep its non-compensatory pick at the end of the seventh round.

If Chris Liewinski, Mike Doss and Vinny Ciurciu all do not qualify, Miami would get a seventh-round comp pick for Jeff Zgonina between Chicago?s pick for Justin Gage and Cincinnati?s pick for Anthony Wright, Carolina would not receive a seventh-round comp pick for Ciurciu, Indianapolis would not receive a seventh-round comp pick for Doss, and St. Louis would receive a non-compensatory pick after Miami?s non-compensatory pick, in order to fill out the maximum number of picks.

If Marcus Wilkins does not qualify, Atlanta would receive a third-round comp pick for Patrick Kerney instead of a net-value comp pick in the seventh round. The third-round comp pick for Kerney would be between Cincinnati?s pick for Steinbach and Baltimore?s pick for Thomas.

If Cameron Worrell does qualify for the equation and there are fewer than 32 comp picks awarded for higher-valued players, Chicago would receive a seventh-round comp pick for Worrell, and the last of any possible non-compensatory picks at the end of the seventh round would not be awarded. The seventh-round comp pick for Worrell would be after the comp picks awarded for every other player except Paul Smith but before Atlanta's net-value comp pick (if Atlanta gets a net-value comp pick) or any non-compensatory picks, if they?re awarded. If Chicago?s pick for Worrell is the 32nd-highest-valued comp pick awarded, Atlanta would not receive a net-value pick if it qualified for one. If there are 32 comp picks awarded for players of higher value than Worrell, Chicago would not receive a comp pick for him, even if he does qualify for the equation.

If Paul Smith qualifies, Cameron Worrell does not qualify and there have been fewer than 32 comp picks awarded, St. Louis would receive a seventh-round comp pick for Smith, and the last of any possible non-compensatory picks at the end of the seventh round would not be awarded. The seventh-round comp pick for Smith would be the final one awarded for a player but before Atlanta's net-value comp pick (if Atlanta gets a net-value comp pick) or any non-compensatory picks, if they?re awarded. If St. Louis? pick for Smith is the 32nd-highest-valued comp pick awarded, Atlanta would not receive a net-value pick if it qualified for one. If there are 32 comp picks awarded for players of higher value than Smith, St. Louis would not receive a comp pick for him, even if he does qualify for the equation.

Under no circumstances will more than 32 picks be awarded, so a combination of the above scenarios or other mistakes in my projection might prevent one or more of the lowest-valued picks in my projection from being awarded, if they?re not one of the 32 highest-valued comp picks.

The NFL typically awards the compensatory picks on the second day of the Annual Meeting, which would be March 31 this year (the meeting will be March 30 to April 3 in Palm Beach, Fla.). After the comp picks are announced, I?ll review what the NFL did and where my projections were incorrect (although I?ve already presented some other possibilities).


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Feel free to post these projections (or the link to adamjt13.blog.com) on other message boards, as long as you give proper credit. Because I cannot register for and regularly visit every single message board where my projections are posted by others, please encourage anyone who has questions for me on other message boards to post them in the comments at adamjt13.blog.com, where I also posted my projections.


.

Times sports writers, please read my points 1 & 2 - would not these make for a good story?

John M raises some salient points.

I would add that I would like to see the sports writers delve into the new coaches analyses of the following issues:
1) How do the younger players grade out with their performance last year? (Heyer, Alexander, Montgomery, Doughty, etc)
2) Just what is the final medical condition of the players who have been hurt? (Jansen, McIntosh, Rogers, Thomas, Kendall, Griffin, etc).

It seems to me the information about points 1 & 2 above will provide much useful information about where the Redskins feel their needs are.

But then, part of the draft is all about feints: Lets keep everyone confused so they do not know who we really want. I really think this mentality is passe in this day and age. I see little downside to indicating postional needs.

That said, this draft is very deep in very good college WR's and linemen. Lets say that there is a run early to mid way through the first round on both of these postions and the #1 rated college DB is available, would you pass on that player with the 21st pick? Then use the second round and third round to find linemen and WR's?

The Skins would be making a mistake in my judgment to start a bidding war for Hackett. He has been a parttime player. He is fragile or can't play hurt, either way that severely diminishes his value. John M has it right, as usual. They need to start getting in a better cap situation. No need to spend the money right now just because it's there. It's very possible that a serviceable big receiver will get cut during camp, and they can pick him up on the cheap.

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