For those of you scoring at home, let's review the predictions made by myself and Lindsay Czarniak of NBC 4 last week.
Me: Redskins over Philadelphia, Jeff Gordon over Jimmie Johnson.
Her: Philadelphia over Redskins, Jimmie Johnson over Jeff Gordon.
Well, the Redskins blow a 9-point lead and lose to the Eagles and Johnson won his fourth consecutive NASCAR race and Gordon concedes the points title.
But this week we're in agreement: The Redskins will lose to Dallas. In our weekly shoot-the-bull session, we also talk about Sean Taylor's absence, Joe Gibbs' game management, Clinton Portis' costumes, Brandon Lloyd's injury and throw in a little music. Lindsay fires first and I respond to her views.
1. Not only did the Redskins lose to Philadelphia last week, they also lost safety Sean Taylor for at least a few games with a knee injury. How important is his absence and how might it effect Gregg Williams' play calling?
Lindsay: It's like Superman knowing that the field he's going to play on doesn't have any kryptonite. This couldn't have happened at a worse time. The Cowboys have the second-best offense in the NFL and are third in the league in pass offense. That being said, I think we've seen enough of LaRon Landry in the past couple weeks to know that he is extremely aggressive as a blitzer, but now that Taylor is off the field, the Cowboys know they can have more success downfield. Williams said early this week that he will rotate guys to avoid Dallas' offense from getting keyed in on specific players in certain situations.
Ryan: I'm not positive, but that may be Lindsay's second Superman reference this month so we know now what her superhero preferences are. Agreed, this isn't the ideal time to lose your best defensive back. Taylor's absence limits Williams' options with his pressure packages. Once Taylor left the game last week (late third quarter), the Redskins sent more than four rushers just once. I expect the Redskins to play a Cover 2 shell with Landry and Pierson Prioleau that will give the corners double-team help on Owens and the linebackers assistance with Witten. As for Landry, his days of blitzing like he did against the Jets (12 times) are done -- he's needed downfield. Williams still has to send some pressure since the front four hasn't been getting as much penetration as they did a month ago.
2. Joe Gibbs was put under the microscope during his Monday press conference about his timeout management and also the play-calling during the Redskins' goal-to-go debacle in the fourth quarter. What was your take on Gibbs' timeout strategy and Al Saunders' decision to call a Clinton Portis run on third-and-goal from the Eagles 7?
Lindsay: Man, that was a grilling Coach Gibbs got on Monday. I think it is one of the issues that cost the Redskins the game. Using all their timeouts with more than eight minutes remaining left them vulnerable when they could've used the time to get the ball back. I still do not see the merit in running the ball on third-and-goal from the 7. I think you need to do whatever gives you the best opportunity to get into the end zone and the play was frustrating to watch at that point because it seemed less likely to pan out.
Ryan: As somebody partly responsible for the grilling, it was interesting to see Joe's reaction when he was put in the cross-hairs. After Mike Sellers was stopped (and no, it wasn't a bad spot, Joe -- he was clearly short), I would have taken the delay of game penalty instead of using a precious timeout. It was a case of total mismanagement. And it's not the first time this season Joe has wasted timeouts. Now, the third-and-goal play from the 7 in the fourth quarter. A touchdown and the lead is nine points and we're talking about a 6-3 Redskins team. Joe said the play was designed for soft coverage. When the Eagles broke the huddle, myself and Times columnist Dan Daly looked at their front and predicted a quarterback draw by Jason Campbell. But then the Eagles showed blitz (six players at the line). At this point, a running play is the wrong call. Joe said on Monday that Campbell had the option of switching to a pass play. A veteran offensive player told me that Campbell doesn't have such an option. The original play call should have been something to Cooley.
3. In the last two games, the Redskins have run it 84 times and passed it 57 times. Not very balanced. Does this need to change for the offense to be more consistent?
Lindsay: Yes, however, I don't think this is the time to be working on growing the confidence of the passing game. I was pleased with how Jason opened up the passing game but I think you make sure you can stay consistent in the production you are having. I would take the three touchdown passes and be happy that they're favoring the running game. Most importantly, though, I am confused because I know they want to be "balanced" but a lot of the players talk about how the identity of this team is the run.
Ryan: I agree with Lindsay. The percentage is a little out of whack because it was clear the Jets couldn't stop the run. In any given game, the Redskins should do what's working. If that means run it 48 times like they did against the Jets, so be it. But my biggest issue with this "balance" hogwash that Lindsay and I hear every week in the locker room is that it doesn't mean anything if a team is consistently inconsistent. This is where I put the focus back on Gibbs. He doesn't call the plays but he has to take his hands off the game plan when the Redskins get inside the 20-yard line. Let Campbell win a game. Let Al Saunders use his entire game plan.
4. Clinton Portis has two consecutive 100-yard games for the first time since the end of 2005. And now, at least last week, the Costumes of Clinton have returned. Has his game returned to form? And are you a fan of his Thursday shtick?
Lindsay: I definitely think he's hit his stride but I want to see him keep it up the next couple weeks because the Jets have the worst rushing defense in the league and while I don't think that was a fluke, I want to see him want to carry this team on a winning streak. That's why I love the costumes. I generally would be really irritated by it because I really believe in the “team” philosophy and that's why teams such as the Patriots are so annoyingly good. But Clinton knows that this doesn't just keep it light for him, it's for his teammates. Last Wednesday, the big story was Brandon Lloyd but on Thursday, because of Clinton dressing as a geisha-dancer-whatchamacallit the Lloyd issue was swept under the rug.
Ryan: I'm withholding judgement on whether Clinton is back to his 2005 form for another two weeks. If he can keep handling a giant load (66 carries the last two weeks), then he'll earn his way back to the Redskins in 2008. He hit the hole great against the Eagles and looked even more quickness than against the Jets. As for the costumes. it's fine. Some media members were figuratively drooling when Clinton came out as "Choo-Choo" last week. I find it amusing and it merits a description in the paper. Somebody that plays as hard as Clinton does -- readers, if you TiVo or DVR Redskins games, watch Portis when he doesn't have the football (it's impressive) -- can do what he wants.
5. Redskins receiver Brandon Lloyd broke his collar bone late in Wednesday's practice. He's out for six weeks and probably done for the year. Do you see him returning to the Redskins 2008 under any circumstances? And where the Lloyd trade rank among Joe Gibbs' worst personnel moves since he returned to the team in 2004?
Lindsay: Even though when asked recently he said he wanted to be back, I don't see it happening. It's disappointing that the timing of this is just after he was forced to miss the Jets game because he fell asleep in the locker room and was late to a meeting. Even though both sides smoothed things over, that's what lingers. He was given more looks last week and even though none resulted in anything, the Redskins needed him with Moss questionable and Thrash out. As far as personnel moves, I see it as a close comparison to Archuleta but with Lloyd, it seems much more of an attitude issue than a scheme fitting problem.
Ryan: As one scout told me last week, "maybe Lloyd is one of those guys that gets his money and that's it." He got his money and has done nothing to earn it. The injury is unfortunate but even if he had stayed healthy and maybe even caught a touchdown, I doubt he would have been back in 2008. The only reason he's back this year is that the Redskins chose to eat Archuleta's cap number instead of Lloyd's. He won't be back, period. As for where it ranks in Gibbs' personnel blunders, it's on the list ... and it's a long list. My list (in no order): Trading two picks for T.J. Duckett, trading two picks for Lloyd, trading a Hall of Fame corner AND a second-round pick for Clinton Portis, trading a third-round pick for Mark Brunell even though he was going to be released less than a month later, not re-signing Antonio Pierce, not re-signing Ryan Clark and, of course, the Archuleta Debacle.
6. For the second time in a month, the Redskins are double-digit road underdogs (10.5). Both of you will be in Big D Sunday afternoon. Do the Redskins have a shot or could this be a repeat of New England? Who wins and what's the score?
Lindsay: Even though I expect that the focus of “back to the basics” will yield some good results, I am very worried about the secondary against T.O. and the Cowboys offense. I know LaRon Landry and Pierson Prioleau will be ready, but I think ultimately, it's going to be a battle that the Redskins offense has to take charge of with Sean Taylor out. I will not be surprised if the Redskins can keep it close but I do think it will be the supremely confident 8-1 Cowboys that prevail by at least a touchdown. Cowboys win 24-17.
Ryan: I would be stunned if the Redskins win. A loss would make next week's game at Tampa Bay a win-to-save-the-season contest. I think the Redskins' offense has a chance to move down the field because their strength (throwing quick passes) is what the Cowboys had trouble with at New York last week. Roy Williams is so bad in coverage, he would have trouble covering myself and Lindsay. Translation: The game plan should revolve around Chris Cooley. But like the New England game, I just don't think the Redskins have firepower to match the Cowboys. Dallas wins 35-20.
BONUS 7. The Danny Snyder-owned American Music Awards are Sunday night. If you two had to choose a song (or more than one) to sum up the first nine games, what would it be and why?
Lindsay: Do you think Tom and Katie will be at the show? I'm picking one of my favorite country songs ever: "The Gambler" by Kenny Rogers. I want to see the Redskins and Joe Gibbs roll the dice a little and for him to allow Al Saunders to continue to open up the offense. Summing up the first nine games, I'm choosing the Eagles' "Take it to the Limit" because the Redskins seem to push it to the end even when they end up in the with the win. For my optimistic crystal ball prediction, I'm choosing the Rolling Stones "Start Me Up" in hopes that last week was an indication of things to come from the passing game.
Ryan: TomKat may need to be in Dallas to console The Danny after the game. For the first nine games, I'll pick U2's "Mysterious Ways" -- lot of mystery decisions made by the head coach; for Campbell, I'll go with Johnny Cash's "Get Rhythm" -- Campbell has to be trusted to find a consistent rhythm; I chose Oasis' "Cast No Shadow" for Gibbs -- let the people you hired (Saunders) do their jobs; and, finally, Bruce Springsteen's "Countin' On A Miracle" -- the Redskins postseason hopes at this point due to the schedule and injuries.