Barack Obama has surged ahead of Hillary Clinton in popularity among blacks in South Carolina, according to a new poll conducted by Winthrop University.
The survey, conducted between Aug. 19 and Sept. 9, shows Obama supported by 35 percent of black South Carolinians and Clinton by 30 percent.
The next closest candidate was John Edwards, with 3 percent. But third place actually is held by "Undecided/Not Sure," at 28 percent. None of the other Democratic candidates garnered a full percentage point.
The poll of 657 randomly selected participants has a margin of error of about 4 percentage points.
What's unique about this poll is that it is not limited to likely voters.
Ron Lester, a respected pollster in Prince George's County, the wealthiest predominantly black county in the country, once told me "the problem with likely black voters is that there is no such thing."
Black voters, he and many other pollsters have told me for years, vote infrequently in big numbers some election cycles and miniscule numbers in the very next one, even in the same jurisdiction.
What also is interesting is the poll's gender breakdown, showing Hillary receiving 30 percent of black men's support and Barack 42 percent, with 21 percent undecided.
And the two are dead even among black women, with each receiving about 31 percent of their support and with 33 percent undecided.
-- Brian DeBose, national political reporter, The Washington Times
Comments (4)
I , personally find this to be no surprise at all I always expected for Obama to be a very close competitor of Clinton's when it came to the black population of voters and non-voters alike. It did however surprise me that so many black men would poll saying that they supported Clinton.
Posted by SoccerPolitics | September 18, 2007 8:31 PM
I think that this shows that were going to have to wait to see who will win the overall presidential vote since so many states are split on there decisions.
Posted by Dman | September 19, 2007 10:26 PM
I don't know how to take this right now, because I'm not sure who would win the elections myself. I would like to have a first black president, but i would like a woman president too. I guess it all comes down, to letting the best man (woman) win!
Posted by Laura | September 20, 2007 12:17 AM
Obama has an inspirational karma about him - I don't know how else to describe it, but I feel like he is an open and honest person - something not often found on Capitol Hill.
Posted by Dan | September 21, 2007 4:48 PM