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Hillary gets an edge at CBC? Over Obama?


Well this is certainly interesting -- an e-mail from the Congressional Black Caucus Foundation I found waiting in my inbox.


Hmmm ...


Is the foundation quietly trying to unofficially endorse Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton?cbcf.jpg
None of the other candidates in the race for the Democratic nomination has his own forums, and none of them has the exclusive endorsement of the majority of Congressional Black Caucus members.


Certainly Sen. Barack Obama, who is a member of the CBC, can't be too happy about this. He has more CBC endorsements than any of the other candidates, many of them admitted Clinton supporters in the past with good relationships with Bill and Hillary.


I got a tip about this from two of the presidential campaigns who were adamant that the CBCF was circumventing the true mission of the CBC Annual Legislative Caucus: To talk to and learn from their constituents about the issues that should drive their legislative policies.


But CBC spokeswoman Keiana Barrett said that is exactly what they are doing.


"Part One was a meeting with youth leaders and congressional leaders on the Hill on how they could be part ... of the best process to build bridges. We could not accommodate a presidential debate and the charwoman wanted to present their agenda in a broader context, and Sen. Clinton has been a part of the ALC for a host of years so the idea was to partner with her to give these young people a forum. It is not an endorsement, the chairman has not made an endorsement and the individual members have given their endorsements," Ms. Barrett said.


But this hasn't happened before: a presidential candidate getting his or her own forum without the others having equal time or being part of the forum itself.


Just look at the attendees and the topics -- they certainly sound presidential:


NAACP Youth & College Division, National Black Caucus of State Legislators, Hip Hop Caucus, the Foundation for Ethnic Understanding, Black Leadership Forum, United States Student Association, and Black Youth Vote will present questions to Sen. Hillary Clinton regarding education, the economy, voting rights and health care.


-- Brian DeBose, national political reporter, The Washington Times

Better late than ... whenever


On Monday, the United Auto Workers union went on strike against General Motors.


Within hours, Democratic presidential candidates Barack Obama, John Edwards, Bill Richardson and Chris Dodd issued news releases in support of the strike.


Let's see ... did we miss anybody? Oh yes -- Hillary Rodham Clinton, the Democratic front-runner!


Mrs. Clinton issued her news release in support of the striking autoworkers about 6:30 p.m. yesterday -- or about 8 1/2 hours before the UAW reached an agreement with GM. Workers are expected to return to their jobs around noon today.


Mrs. Clinton issued her release after having spoken (along with Mr. Obama and Mr. Edwards) to the Change to Win Federation annual convention in Chicago. The federation, which consists of seven service and trade unions, must have jogged her memory about the strike.


Here's a copy of her news release:


September 25, 2007


Hillary Clinton Statement On UAW Strike


Hillary Clinton issued the following statement in support of the striking members of the United Auto Workers.


"I stand in solidarity with the men and women of the UAW who have been forced to strike in defense of their jobs. The negotiations that led to this strike involve the fundamental issues of health security for workers and retirees, fair wages, retirement protection and job security.


"As President, I will continue my efforts to rebuild our manufacturing industry, to provide good jobs with health and retirement security, and to honor the hard work of unions like the UAW.

"We have a shared interest in a healthy and successful US auto industry, and I hope the current dispute can be resolved quickly for the benefit of the workers and General Motors."


-- Brian DeBose, national political reporter, The Washington Times

A 'JFK moment'


Donald E. Scroggins, president of Republicans for Black Empowerment, says his party needs a reality check on electoral politics, has no vision for the future and needs a "JFK moment."


"Democrats are still resting on laurels they created almost 50 years ago when Richard Nixon, leading John F. Kennedy in the polls, was upset in his bid for president of the United States," said Mr. Scroggins, a lifelong Virginia Republican.


The catalyst for that was "Bobby Kennedy's clever political advice to his brother that he should call the wife of Martin Luther King Jr. offering to help gain his release from jail after an arrest during a recent civil rights march. That fatuous message spread through the black community like wildfire," Mr. Scroggins said.


"It wasn't that JFK and Bobby were such great civil rights advocates or very concerned with the lives of Negroes. What especially Bobby Kennedy saw in 1959 and few Republican Party leaders today seem to comprehend is the increased importance of the black vote."


"Such understanding is required now more than ever for the GOP given this country's rapidly changing demographics causing great electoral unknowns," he said.


Mr. Scroggins also said that, "If past voting patterns hold true today, the Republican Party faces a grim future. To survive with some degree of relevancy, the GOP must think outside the box -- aggressively promote itself to ethnic groups rapidly becoming the nation's majority."


His position comes on the heels of a very damning article in the other paper about the top tier Republican presidential candidates not participating in the All-American Presidential Forum.


Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, Fred Thompson and John McCain passed on the debate sposored by PBS and its star talk-show host Tavis Smiley.


Newt Gingrich called the candidates so-called scheduling conflicts "baloney," and Jack Kemp asked if the GOP's plan in the future was to "meet at a country club somewhere."


It appears that the "Give us a chance, and we'll give you a choice" minority outreach efforts of former RNC Chairman Ken Mehlman were not appreciated, but the replacement efforts of Sen. Mel Martinez and Mike Duncan?


-- Brian DeBose, national political reporter, The Washington Times

Lunching for $$$


In a recent e-mail, John Edwards asks his supporters to "Guess Who's Really Coming To Lunch With Hillary" before spilling the beans: It's lobbyists and special interests, of course.


Fresh from criticizing Barack Obama for his Iraq troop-removal plan, Edwards has reset his sights on his favorite target -- Democratic front-runner Hillary Rodham Clinton.


Her campaign's lunch-with-the-candidate event -- an idea "borrowed" from the Obama camp -- had promised some lucky donors face-time with the New York senator.


But Edwards, who has trailed Clinton and Obama in the polls for months, says something else is afoot.


"Today at noon, Hillary Clinton will be hosting a fundraiser in Washington, D.C., for a select group of lobbyists with an interest in homeland security," his campaign said.


"Tickets for the Clinton fundraiser are $1,000 a ticket and $25,000 per bundler. And for that money you get more than a meal, you get to attend one-hour breakout sessions in four different areas of homeland security that will include House Committee chairs and members of Congress who sit on the very committees that will be voting on homeland security legislation."


Edwards' anger seems to be rising as the days go by and as he continues to trail Clinton and Obama in state and national polls, and for good reason. In a recent South Carolina poll, he received only 3 percent of the respondents' support -- and Edwards was born in South Carolina.


-- Brian DeBose, national political reporter, The Washington Times

Poll: Obama tops Clinton in S.C.


Barack Obama has surged ahead of Hillary Clinton in popularity among blacks in South Carolina, according to a new poll conducted by Winthrop University.


The survey, conducted between Aug. 19 and Sept. 9, shows Obama supported by 35 percent of black South Carolinians and Clinton by 30 percent.


The next closest candidate was John Edwards, with 3 percent. But third place actually is held by "Undecided/Not Sure," at 28 percent. None of the other Democratic candidates garnered a full percentage point.


The poll of 657 randomly selected participants has a margin of error of about 4 percentage points.


What's unique about this poll is that it is not limited to likely voters.


Ron Lester, a respected pollster in Prince George's County, the wealthiest predominantly black county in the country, once told me "the problem with likely black voters is that there is no such thing."


Black voters, he and many other pollsters have told me for years, vote infrequently in big numbers some election cycles and miniscule numbers in the very next one, even in the same jurisdiction.


What also is interesting is the poll's gender breakdown, showing Hillary receiving 30 percent of black men's support and Barack 42 percent, with 21 percent undecided.


And the two are dead even among black women, with each receiving about 31 percent of their support and with 33 percent undecided.


-- Brian DeBose, national political reporter, The Washington Times

(Military) money talks


Are Republicans losing their longstanding support among the armed forces? A new report would suggest they are.


Members of the U.S. military have been donating more funds to Democratic candidates since the start of the Iraq war, according to the Center for Responsive Politics.


The Center -- a nonpartisan, nonprofit group that tracks money in political contests -- reports that Democrats received only 23 percent of military members' donations in 2002, the last full election cycle before the start of the war.


Democrats can claim 40 percent of the military's contributions this year, according to the Center, which notes that the antiwar campaigns of Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) and Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas) have received the most military donations.


Obama has received $27,000 in military donations, and Paul $19,250. Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) -- a former Navy officer and POW -- is third, with $18,600.


-- Brian DeBose, national political reporter, The Washington Times

Doublechecking Edwards' math


In today's story on Democratic Sen. Barack Obama's plan to pull troops out of Iraq, former Sen. John Edwards said that Obama's proposal is similar to President Bush's, saying the pace of withdrawal moves too slowly and sounds too much like the Army General David H. Petreaus' plan to withdraw 30,000 troops by July.


"Taking credit for this gradual withdrawal is like taking credit for gravity," Mr. Edwards said. "These 30,000 troops would have to be withdrawn anyway, unless the president extended tours to an unconscionable 18 months."


But that's not exactly accurate.


The Pentagon says there are currently 20 combat brigades in Iraq -- each with 3,500 or 4,500 troops. Mr. Obama plans to get the troops out at a rate of 1 to 2 brigades each month, preferably two, over the next 15 months, starting today and ending in December 2008.


At the lower end, 3,500 troops leaving each month for the next 15 months is 52,500 troops -- about a third of the 160,000 troops currently in Iraq. At two brigades a month it's 105,000 by December 2008, plus the 30,000 Mr. Edwards said are coming home anyway.


Granted, Mr. Obama's plan will not get all of the troops out by the end of 2008 (or 20 days before he would take office if elected). But it is a lot more than the 30,000 Mr. Edwards is claiming.


-- Brian DeBose, national political reporter, The Washington Times

Republicans resign, Democrats survive


In light of Idaho's senior Republican Sen. Larry Craig's quick-fast guilty plea to disorderly conduct that cost him his seat in three months, let's compare how a Democrat is dealing with his legal troubles.


Rep. William Jefferson , Louisiana Democrat, staved off an indictment for six months by challenging the FBI's raid on his Capitol Hill office, which he won, and secured him an opportunity to win another term last November.


The next move is to stymie the start of his trial, and here Jefferson is playing it perfectly, yet again.


His attorneys have argued for a change of venue, filing several motions stating that, "Since the center of gravity of the entire case is in Washington, D.C., and not the Eastern District of Virginia, the case should be transferred there."


"For 6 of the 16 counts, Virginia is not a permissible venue at all," Mr. Jefferson's lawyers argued.


No secret agenda here. Jefferson wants a jury pool from the District because he knows he can get some African Americans on the jury who are sympathetic to a black politician caught in an FBI raid, and to the first black man from Louisiana elected to Congress since the Reconstruction era of the 1860s and 1870s.


"Most important, bringing the case in a venue where it does not belong has resulted in a markedly different racial composition of the jury pool. This gives rise to concerns that the prosecutors deliberately exercised their discretion to choose a forum on the basis of race," the lawyers said.


The defense wants all of the Justice Department and FBI's to produce all of its internal memos concerning the choice of venue to ensure that race did not play a part in the decision.


The defense also moved to dismiss the bribery charges and related counts since the government has not alleged that Mr. Jefferson agreed to perform any official acts or to make any official decisions in exchange for the $100,000 an FBI undercover agent gave him.


"This case is about private business activities. The indictment does not charge that Mr. Jefferson obtained any earmarks or appropriations, or that he worked to pass any legislation for the companies involved -- the government only charges that he 'used his position' to promote businesses in which he had an interest. This legal challenge goes to the heart of the government's case," the defense argues in addition they are trying to have any evidence siezed in Mr. Jefferson's home thrown out because they claim the FBI photographed documents outside of the search criteria of the warrant.


All total, the defense filed 14 motions today.


A colleague of mine said Republicans never seem able to survive scandal. Maybe they just need better legal advice.


-- Brian DeBose, national political reporter, The Washington Times

Another prosecutor out on a limb?


In Durham, N.C., today, disgraced former District Attorney Mike Nifong reported for a brief (but symbolically important, we're told) 24-hour term behind bars.


In the Duke rape case, Nifong showed how a rogue prosecutor can ruin lives. Now some folks say something similar is unfolding in Jena, La., a small town of about 3,000 in the northeast section of the state.


The case centers around Jena High School and a shade tree in the center of the courtyard.


For years, only white students sat under the tree at lunch. Then, about this time last year, Sept. 1, a black student asked the assistant principal and other faculty members during an assembly if he could sit under the tree and was promptly told to "sit where ever he liked."


The next day the student did, and the day after three hangman's nooses appeared on the tree.


That lit the fuse.


Outraged black students tried to stage peaceful protests, but fights broke out on and off the school grounds.


LaSalle Parish District Attorney Reed Walters, asked to speak to a school assembly as part of the effort to defuse the situation, told students to stop making trouble as he could end their lives "with the stroke of a pen."


But tensions boiled over in December, when six black students beat Justin Barker, a white student, who fell during the attack, hit his head and suffered a concussion. Barker was treated and released that day, but the prosecutor in Jena decided to charge the boys who would become known as the "Jena Six" with attempted murder.


So far, only one of the "Jena Six," Mycheal Bell, has been convicted (by an all-white jury, on charges of battery and conspiracy to commit battery). He is to be sentenced on Sept. 20, when he could face a maximum sentence of almost 23 years.


After what happened at Duke, people in Jena and people around the country following the case are asking why would a prosecutor issue a threat like Walters did? Was his comment aimed at black students specifically?


Yes, fights at school are reprehensible, but what purpose could possibly be served by charging these teen-agers with attempted murder?


And if Mike Nifong's questionable and inflammatory statements against the innocent white Duke lacrosse players led to his disbarment, doesn't Mr. Walters owe the defendents, the town and the rest of the country an explanation for his comments?


-- Brian DeBose, national political reporter, The Washington Times

Republicans' moral high ground?


The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee asks that question in its new online video.


The ad features seven Republicans -- including Idaho Sen. Larry Craig -- who have been involved in sex-related scandals over the past two years. It also notes that House Republican leader John Boehner had once boasted that his party "owns the moral high ground."


Democrats were supposed to have learned their lesson on this one in 2006.


Last year FBI agents found $90,000 of a $100,000 bribe in the home freezer of Rep. William Jefferson, Louisiana Democrat.


In addition, the FBI last year began investigating the investments of Rep. Alan B. Mollohan, West Virginia Democrat, who had been accused of funneling federal funds to nonprofits he helped operate. Mollohan was forced to give up his seat on -- wait for it -- the ethics committee.


A Democrat congressman told me at the time: "You never shout too loud about corruption and morality because it will always affect both sides of the aisle." How soon they forget.


Here's the ad:

-- Brian DeBose, national political reporter, The Washington Times

Mortgage crisis plan


Several financial gurus have praised President Bush's effort to stem the bleeding market from the deep cuts incurred by subprime mortgage lenders and dirty-dealing real estate investors.


I'll try to make this simple. A lot of speculators took out loans for homes with the expectation of making a quick profit on the equity when they resold the properties in a booming real estate market. When the market fell, the equity vanished and the speculators defaulted on their mortagages.


Bush wants these guys to pay their debts while he cuts off their avenues to refinancing by denying them insurance through the Federal Housing Authority. He also aims to help average homeowners by granting them the insurance if they are credit worthy.


Here is where the policy falls flat, according to some mortgage lenders:


"Bush says that FHA is going to help insure people who are credit worthy and you can't be credit worthy if you are in bankruptcy or close to it and certainly not if you are in foreclosure," said Mike Watson, a local mortgage lender. "I have at least four cases on my desk that can't qualify for FHA insurance right now."


What are the eligibility requirements? From the HUD Web site:

* The mortgage loan is funded by a mortgage company, bank or savings and loan association, and the mortgage is insured by HUD.
* It must be the borrower's primary residence.
* The borrower must meet standard FHA credit qualifications.
* The borrower is eligible for approximately 97% financing. The borrower is able to finance the upfront mortgage insurance premium into the mortgage. The borrower will also be responsible for paying an annual premium.
* Eligible properties are one-to-four unit structures.

Mr. Watson said the credit industry is slowly raising the bar for worthiness. "What [Bush] has said has no effect on people with credit scores between 400 and 500 and doesn't help anybody else because you have to have a 600 score or better to get a Chapter 13 bankruptcy or buyout loan."


" A good credit score is about 720 right now. When just a few months ago, it was 640 and months before that 600, and that is what happened when the market got shook up," Mr. Watson said.


For Mr. Bush's plan to work, he said, the Federal Reserve will have to lower the interest rate or the credit industry will have to lower the credit worthy score, which is unlikely.


In addition, the impact of the "crisis" has to be weighed against the fact that subprime lending accounts for only 4 percent of the total mortgage lending market, he said.


We'll find out what the Fed decides on Sept. 18.


-- Brian DeBose, national political reporter, The Washington Times

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