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May 2008 Archives

Hoyas' Cannon looking to play Saturday

One of the tidbits from my visit to Georgetown's lacrosse practice was an update on attackman Brendan Cannon, who suffered a sprained left ankle against Rutgers on Saturday.


Cannon (23 goals, 21 assists) was in a walking boot and has not practiced this week for the Hoyas (9-3), who visit Penn State on Saturday.


"The ankle's doing well," Cannon said. "There's a good chance I'll be able to play on Saturday. I'm just being cautious with it and doing what I can. I won't push it too hard because it's a serious injury to an extent, but I think I should be able to go on Saturday."


If Georgetown was safely in the NCAA tournament field, it would be absurd for Cannon to play when he could rest a week and be ready for the postseason. But unlike most seasons of late, the Hoyas need to beat (or, more precisely, avoid losing to) the struggling Nittany Lions.


If Cannon does play, Georgetown has to hope it can run out to an early lead in much the same way it did last week so they can get him out of there as quickly as possible. And if he doesn't, the Hoyas can only hope to avoid the sort of loss that could potentially end their 11-year NCAA tournament streak.


Since, as coach Dave Urick points out, Cannon has a long history of missing practice with injuries and then playing, I suspect Cannon will indeed give it a go in State College. But it goes without saying the Hoyas would love to get him as much rest as possible heading into the postseason.


--- Patrick Stevens

Scout's honor

Virginia doesn't play the final weekend of the lacrosse season, so it gives coach Dom Starsia a chance to disperse his coaching staff throughout the eastern half of the United States.


Assistant Marc Van Arsdale was at tonight's America East semifinals and will fly out to Detroit to see the GWLL semis tomorrow. Assistant Hannon Wright will take in Hopkins-Loyola and Hofstra-Drexel on Saturday. And Starsia will be at Princeton-Brown on Saturday afternoon.


But apparently, scouting the final weekend is something of a Sisyphean task for the Cavaliers --- there's always plenty more to do once the 16-team field is released.


"Of course, we won't play the teams we go see," Starsia said, pointing out that it is nearly inevitable for the Cavaliers to draw someone they don't scout during the season-ending bye.


Who, then, could continue the Cavaliers' wicked luck in such a scenario? UMBC is a possibility. So are Georgetown, Navy and perhaps Army, though the Black Knights would require a flight to make it to Charlottesville.


If indeed it is the Retrievers, you can be sure Starsia will get a chuckle out of it on his conference call with reporters on Sunday night.


--- Patrick Stevens

What the America East & CAA finals mean

The top seeds advanced in both the CAA (Hofstra and Drexel) and the America East (Albany and lucky-to-be-alive UMBC) over the last two nights.


So beyond awarding a bid, how do those two title games matter for Sunday's tournament selection announcement?


Quite a bit, especially if you assume both conferences are one-bid leagues --- and after looking at UMBC's RPI and strength of schedule, the Retrievers' victories over Maryland and Ohio State might not be enough to offset things like losing to Rutgers and being forced to play winless Hartford and better but still sub-.500 Vermont once and annoyingly scary and aesthetically displeasing Binghamton twice.


(I say that with reverence for a Binghamton team that found ways to stay close to a few opponents that outgunned it; it doesn't change the fact five of the Bearcats' 12 games featured a total of 11 goals or less. I shudder at the thought of games decided by 3-2 and 5-1 margins).


All of this is because of the NCAA's limit of two flights for the first round. The number seems to dance around every year between 300 and 350 miles, though I have it on good authority a Baltimore school can be shipped to the Research Triangle without hopping on the Southwest shuttle to RDU I am so fond of.


Right now, Drexel is a possible fit to travel to Virginia. But if that berth goes to Hofstra, you can be sure the Pride will be sent to Cornell or Maryland or Hopkins. UMBC is a distinct possibility for a trip to Chapel Hill. But putting Albany (on the fast track to Cornell or Syracuse) into the field means a Loyola or a Georgetown or even a western representative could find themselves hanging out on Franklin Street next weekend.


Of course, the western representative --- quite possibly a Notre Dame team with a strong RPI --- might be playing host to a tournament game for the first time. And in that instance, just about any unseeded team would be a candidate for a trip westward.


Eighteen games remain in the regular season, and only two --- Dartmouth-Harvard and Rutgers-Massachusetts --- don't feature at least one team that plausibly has a chance to make the tournament and thus impact their postseason profile one way or another.


So breaking down what's unfolded is all well and good; but there's still a lot to come.


And by the way, it's 72 hours and ticking until the selection announcement.


That, of course, means a lot.

Heyward-Bey and 2009 NFL Draft hype

Because of a great marketing machine that has made the NFL as ubiquitous as Starbucks, construction along the Pennsylvania Turnpike and terrible reality TV shows, the league never quite disappears from the public's consciousness at any time of the year.


It's an amazing Jedi mind trick, getting people to obsess over mini-camps and draft combines and whether a guy will be a pre- or post-June 1 cut --- in the big picture, very silly stuff that isn't worth obsessing over unless you're actually personally involved in the mini-camp, draft combine or pre- or post-June 1 cut. And it also gets people to look ahead to a draft that won't occur for another 52 weeks.


And while I try to avoid the league more than most, it is impossible to ignore it completely when you cover a guy who is quickly being adorned as a possible first-round pick next year: Maryland wideout Darrius Heyward-Bey.


I've been around when Hey-Bey has been asked about the pros, and his replies are so much out of the "saying the right thing" vein that I don't have any of them on hand --- they just aren't worth transcribing because they are exactly what you would expect him to say. He'll need to stock up on variations of "saying the right thing," since it appears the 6-foot-2, 206-pound junior will receive plenty such questions in the next nine months.


Other people are talking plenty about Heyward-Bey. In just the last week or so, this stuff has popped up:


* SI named him as one of a dozen first-rounders for next year.


* Draftking.com has Hey-Bey as a No. 5 overall selection to San Francisco. It's amazing someone is actually projecting which draft position each team will assume, and then who they will draft/be in need of a year from now.


* NFLdraftwatch.net sends Heyward-Bey to Chicago at No. 16. At least this guy just based his draft order on the reverse of the Vegas odds to win the Super Bowl.


* Collegefootballnews.com doesn't list him as a first-rounder. He is, however, the No. 3-ranked wideout behind Florida's Percy Harvin and Texas Tech's efficient Michael Crabtree.


* Rivals.com figures Heyward-Bey to be the No. 14 pick to Houston, behind Crabtree but well ahead of Harvin.


Of course, all of this is meaningless. Three months ago, Maryland fans figured linebacker Erin Henderson was leaving to become a third- or fourth-round pick and he went undrafted. Lots of things can happen to Heyward-Bey in the next year, from getting injured to rolling up a 1,000-yard season, from being stuck in an inert offense that juggles quarterbacks to being the centerpiece of a team that contends for an ACC title. Oh, and maybe Heyward-Bey will stick around for his senior year, too.


No matter how it plays out, Hey-Bey will have some hype to contend with along the way.


--- Patrick Stevens

A crack in the edge of the (lacrosse) world

Those familiar with the work of author Simon Winchester probably know about the great work he did in examining earthquakes in "A Crack in the Edge of the World."


(OK, I probably lost a lot of you. But there is a point to this, besides linking to a solid summer reading choice.)


Anyway, Winchester discusses a lot of the history behind plate tectonic theory, meandering along the way to talk about a great many topics and neatly tying them in to the 1906 San Francisco earthquake.


That event was a startling event for obvious reasons, and did a great deal to change the landscape of the Bay area (and eventually helped people understand what the heck had just happened).


Anyway, an event that could be incredibly disruptive to the college lacrosse world --- its own massive tectonic shift, if you will --- could be coming later this month: The formation of a Big East men's lacrosse conference.


The Syracuse Post-Standard's Dave Rahme
examined this in Sunday's edition, with Syracuse AD Daryl Gross saying he was on board for if and when the topic arose at this month's conference athletic director meetings in Florida.


(If I was Winchester, I would begin a sharp-witted 10-page aside on how athletic directors manage to find a way to go to a nice resort for a few days, filling some meetings around inevitable trips to the golf course. I'll only say it must be nice work if you can get it, and I don't have the patience for golf.)


Anyway, one of the two sticking points Rahme looks at are getting Providence and Villanova to add financial support to their programs, since at least one of the two is needed to make the conference big enough to earn an automatic NCAA berth (and make it a worthwhile endeavor, since everyone but Syracuse already is in a league with an AQ and the Orange have done well for themselves as an independent).


The other is Gross' insistence the league tournament be played at the Carrier Dome every year, giving ingrained national power Syracuse an extra edge annually.


I brought that up with Georgetown's Dave Urick when I swung by the school yesterday afternoon.


"Gee, I don't know. I think it would be nice to have it in the nation's capital every year," Urick said. "Come down here and see the cherry blossoms. I'm not sure where that's coming from. I think there's a few other teams in the Big East that might want to weigh on that. I talked to the Notre Dame coach [Kevin Corrigan] about it and he had the same reaction you did --- a little bit of a chuckle.


"That's a little down the road a ways. It hasn't occurred yet. I think we're getting very close to Big East lacrosse, and I think that's a good thing. Hopefully, it continues to move in a positive direction and we get there someday. I think we're a lot closer now than we ever have been, but it's not a done deal."


Rumblings in the coaching community suggest this could be in place by the 2010 season, and this is where the tectonic shift occurs. The Big East would take teams out of the ECAC, the Colonial, the Great Western Lacrosse League and the Metro Atlantic, potentially setting off a chain reaction in all of those conferences. It would also leave Johns Hopkins as the lone powerful independent.


Toss in the fact the heretofore nonexistent in lacrosse Northeast Conference will have six teams playing the sport once Bryant moves up to Division I next year and another league could form as well (The NEC would peel teams from the MAAC, the CAA and the GWLL), and the possibility the MAAC takes in regular members Fairfield and Loyola and the landscape could be incredibly different.


There are only eight leagues in Division I lacrosse, and chances half of them --- the America East, the ACC, the Ivy League and the Patriot League --- will emerge in their same form. Two leagues will be added, and the ECAC is the top candidate to be erased from the sport's map altogether.


Remember, none of this is guaranteed to happen, and chances are the future will not be identical to this. But it could be like when Homer Simpson turned a toaster into a time machine; the final outcome might turn out to be close enough to previous expectations, minus a meeting with an ill-tempered Mr. Peabody.


It's just one man's guess. Perhaps Penn State joins Ohio State in the GWLL rather than taking associate membership in a souped-up CAA with the Buckeyes (either way, the schools make for a logical partnership since they are the only Big Ten schools in Division I). Maybe Saint Joseph's and VMI head someplace other than their current MAAC membership.


But even if those projections are correct, there's no question it's still a different looking world. It would impact 35 of what will be 59 Division I programs, nearly three out of five overall.

Teams in black would remain in their current leagues.
Teams in blue would switch leagues.
Teams in green have announced plans to establish Division I programs or move up from Division II.

BIG EAST COLONIAL GREAT WESTERN METRO ATLANTIC NORTHEAST INDEPENDENT
Georgetown (ECAC) Delaware Air Force Canisius Bryant Johns Hopkins
Notre Dame (GWLL) Drexel Bellarmine Manhattan Mount St. Mary's (MAAC)
Providence (MAAC) Hofstra Denver Marist Quinnipiac (GWLL)
Rutgers (ECAC) Towson Detroit Siena Robert Morris (CAA)
St. John's (ECAC) Hobart (ECAC) Jacksonville Fairfield (ECAC) Sacred Heart (CAA)
Syracuse (Independent) Massachusetts (ECAC) Presbyterian (Independent) Loyola (ECAC) Wagner (MAAC)
Villanova (CAA) Ohio State (GWLL) Saint Joseph's?
Penn State (ECAC) VMI?


Anyone have any thoughts on the possibility of this brave new world, or is it just full of sound and fury? (And I'll take any other Shakespearean allusions if you've got them).


--- Patrick Stevens

Lacrosse bracketology: May 2

Notre Dame and Ohio State play on.


Denver is done.


Cornell will be staying in Ithaca for the first two weekends of the tournament.


That's the key moving and shaking from today's games.


There's still probably a surprise or two out there tomorrow, but today's five games featured a mild upset in the MAAC (VMI over Providence) and otherwise predictable results.


So the bracket remains close to what it was, though Ohio State slips ahead of Army for the final spot --- for now. If the Buckeyes win on Sunday, they'll be in the field anyway and Notre Dame returns to the pile of at-large possibilities. If they lose, their profile will probably sustain enough damage to drop them out of the field.


But no one knows for sure.


(1) Duke vs. ECAC/Loyola


* If there's two western teams in the field, it is bad news for the Greyhounds. The selection committee's limit of two flights pretty much consigns Loyola to a trip to Durham unless VMI can spring a second upset in the Metro Atlantic tournament.


(8) Georgetown vs. GWLL/Notre Dame


* A matchup that remains unchanged from earlier in the week. Somebody's got to earn the No. 8 seed, and these teams are as likely as anyone to secure it.


(5) Johns Hopkins vs. PATRIOT/Colgate


* The mileage cutoff for the selection committee when determining who flies and who is stuck on a charter bus is 350 miles; Mapquest says Hamilton, N.Y., is 323 miles from Baltimore. So this pairing is definitely possible.


(4) North Carolina vs. AMERICA EAST/UMBC


* A Baltimore team can be bused to the Research Triangle, making the selection committee's job a lot easier. It would be stunning if the Tar Heels aren't paired with Loyola, UMBC or a western team.


(3) Virginia vs. CAA/Drexel


* A rematch of the teams' season opener in Philadelphia. A Hofstra win in the CAA title game means a much better chance for a western team to land in Charlottesville.


(6) Maryland vs. IVY/Princeton


* Let's be perfectly clear about the Tigers: They'd better win tomorrow at Brown. The home victories over Cornell and Hofstra are nice and the RPI and SOS numbers aren't dead weights. But the AQ is Princeton's road into the tournament, especially since a loss will hurt its computer numbers.


(7) Cornell vs. Ohio State


* I'm still inclined to believe Army will end up opposite the Big Red if they take care of Penn tomorrow. As for Navy fans who still have some hope, Ithaca is 340 miles away from Annapolis.


(2) Syracuse vs. MAAC/Canisius


* From out of the frying pan and into the fire; if Canisius isn't shipped to Duke, it will most certainly be given a ticket east on the New York State Thruway to the Dome.


--- Patrick Stevens

Chatting with the chair

The NCAA lacrosse tournament selection committee has a new chairman this year --- Bucknell senior associate AD Tim Pavlechko. But it's not like it's his first time he's been involved in the selection process.


It's his second year on this committee, and he spent three years as an assistant director of championships with the NCAA.


Pavlechko clarified yesterday that the distance teams are allowed to bus in the first round is 350 miles. And yes, the two-flight restriction remains in place, as well, though Pavlechko indicated there could come a time when the committee has no choice but to use more flights. With Denver losing to Ohio State last night, chances are it won't happen this year.


One other tidbit: Don't expect the three Sunday games (Notre Dame-Ohio State, VMI-Canisius, St. John's-Duke) to cause too many headaches for the committee. They'll all be done by 3 p.m. (the selection announcement is in the 9 p.m. hour), and the committee will have data at its disposal to project what the final RPIs, strength of schedules and results-based criterion depending on the outcome of any of those contests.


Here's some other insights; the last one in particular on the relative importance of head-to-head matchups should be required reading for anyone who is inclined to complain about the 16-team bracket that will be unveiled tomorrow night.


On the selection process in Indianapolis:


"We'll have our staff liaisons there, have our RPI experts that are playing out scenarios for us. As those results and as they automatic qualifiers are determined, we'll continue to evolve [the process]. We'll work Saturday night pretty late and come in Sunday morning and get going and wait for those games to be done and finalize it and put it to bed."


On reliance on mathematical formulas:


"Every time you come to the end and you're leaving teams on the bubble, you're looking at what different teams have done. You come to a point where it just just seems like there are a lot of teams that are going to be under consideration for that last spot. It just doesn't come down to two teams usually. You're talking about how some have beaten others, there's no direct head-to-head for others. There needs to be something that's different and another tool. I think the mathematical RPI, when it gets to that point, it's one of the tools.


"Maybe years ago, people and coaches always said 'If you had one big win.' Now, I think there a lot of 'one big wins.' I think that's where it comes to how the game's grown and how programs have evolved. You look at the conferences that are stronger, and that's great for the game. It does create some challenges for the committee. I think that's where the perception it's a numbers game comes from, that the numbers play a more important role."


On the value of head-to-head, which is NOT one of the primary selection criteria.


"It's something where it's part of our criteria. It's another tool. It's not the only thing. It is something that is used to evaluate the cross section of a team's schedule and the wins and losses they've had. It's a matter of how much weight does it give? It give weight, looking at seeding and two teams on the border. But there are rarely two teams on the border. It is relevant where there are only two teams left you're looking it. There are so many other factor and so many other tools. It's not just black and white, this team played this other team. There are so many other peripherals. Head-to-head is one tool. It's not the only tool."


--- Patrick Stevens

Disaster Day for Georgetown, Princeton

You didn't need to be a graduate of one of the prestigious institutions of higher learning listed in the subject line to know both simply needed a victory on the road today to lock up an NCAA tournament berth.


Princeton would have snared the Ivy League's AQ with a win at Brown. Georgetown would have safely placed itself in the at-large pool by dumping sub-.500 Penn State.


And neither did.


So that is going to make for a very interesting 24 hours for both teams --- especially Georgetown.


The Hoyas were up 11-9 with a minute to play before yielding a pair of goals. They proceeded to win the opening faceoff and took a shot rather than call a timeout. The shot was saved, Penn State called a timeout and missed on their next possession.


Georgetown proceeded to run down the field, not bother with a timeout, and gain have a shot saved by Penn State's Drew Adams. The Nittany Lions didn't let their second chance escape, with Max VanArsdale scoring with 2:23 left in OT to secure the 12-11 victory.


Something tells me the decision not to call a timeout either time could haunt the Hoyas tomorrow night.


Apparently, some fans agree. Within minutes of the loss, a thread entitled "Georgetown '09" was posted on laxpower.com.


The Hoyas can only hope they have a little bit of '08 left. But with a loss to a team in the bottom half of Division I, the forecast got a whole lot bleaker.


--- Patrick Stevens

The end of a wild, wild day

It looked so much like the perfect cap to a completely befuddling day.


Team by team that simply needed to win to secure an NCAA tournament berth fell by the wayside. And when UMBC was down 8-1 in the second quarter, I IM'd one of the copy editors on our desk.


"[They're] getting reamed," I noted. "They ain't coming back from that."


Oops.


The Retrievers just wrapped up a remarkable 14-13 victory over Albany, punching their third straight NCAA tournament trip despite trailing 11-2 in the middle of the second quarter.


In the process, they avoided joining Georgetown, Princeton, Army and Drexel as teams that may well have played their way out of the tournament today.


A bracketology update is coming up.


--- Patrick Stevens

Lacrosse bracketology: May 3

Everything seems so cut and dried coming into the weekend to me. But on Thursday afternoon, Virginia coach Dom Starsia warned me that anyone who really thought they knew how everything would play out was bluffing.


As if anyone needed a clarification, the insightful, sagacious Ivy Leaguer is going to be right more often than not. And he certainly was this time.


The Saturday of surprises has shuffled up everything outside of the top seven seeds, which remained relatively stable this weekend. But everything else is in flux, and it's anyone's guess who earns the final three at-large berths.


Here's mine --- for now, anyway. I'll sleep on all this and try to give it one last shot tomorrow.


It is surely a season the committee has a difficult task.


(1) Duke vs. ECAC/Loyola


* No one is rooting for VMI more than the Greyhounds. There could be an intriguing trickle down if the Keydets make the tournament --- perhaps VMI paired with Duke, Loyola shipped to Virginia, Navy paired with North Carolina and UMBC paired with Syracuse and Navy sent to Syracuse.


(8) GWLL/Notre Dame vs. Denver


* Can this matchup happen, since the teams are in the same league? Maybe not. But Denver edges out Georgetown, Brown and Princeton for the final at-large berth simply because the Pioneers have done nothing egregiously bad and have a decent schedule strength.


(5) Johns Hopkins vs. CAA/Hofstra


* If the seeds held in this bracket, the Blue Jays would have a chance to chase a title and pursue a vengeance tour at the same time. Hofstra, North Carolina and Duke all dealt the Hop losses, as did the two best teams in the bottom half of the draw (Virginia and Syracuse).


(4) North Carolina vs. AMERICA EAST/UMBC


* The Retrievers did well last year when it drew an ACC team that passed the computer test better than the eyeball test. This could be another upset opportunity for a team that needed a pair of highwire acts to survive the America East tournament.


(3) Syracuse vs. MAAC/Canisius


* The Orange cost themselves a shot at the No. 2 seed today, but it doesn't really matter that much. It probably set up an upstate New York quadrant of the bracket.


(6) IVY/Cornell vs. PATRIOT/Colgate


* The Raiders have a case for the final seeded spot in the field. At the least, it won't be an easy opener for the Ivy League champion Big Red, which locked up an AQ when Princeton lost at Brown.


(7) Maryland vs. Ohio State


* The Terrapins' offense finally started clicking today, dropping 16 on Yale to secure the team's best output since basketball's Selection Sunday. Maryland would need some scoring punch against the Buckeyes, who have suffered three of their four losses in overtime.


(2) Virginia vs. Navy


* Navy managed not to lose on a bye week, which ultimately meant the Midshipmen were big-time winners. Victories over Ohio State, Maryland and Colgate all look a bit better, and the Mids' solid RPI and strength of schedule didn't take hits this weekend.


--- Patrick Stevens

Final lacrosse bracket projection: May 4

After a topsy-turvy Saturday, today's three games held to form.


Notre Dame and Canisius won their respective conference tournaments. Duke handled St. John's in its regular season finale.


As a result, I'll stick with my projected field from last night. The last three at-large berths go to Ohio State, Navy and Denver. Of course, those spots could also go to Army, Georgetown and Brown. Or Princeton, Drexel and one of those other six teams. It's still a bit of guesswork.


However, I will offer an alternate bracketing from last night, since Maryland coach Dave Cottle, a selection committee member, told me last week there is a requirement to avoid pairing teams from the same league in the first round.


(That must have been developed in the last few years; Rutgers and Georgetown played in 2003 despite their ECAC membership).


If three teams from the west make it, and the ban on league rematches is in effect, it would require the committee to go beyond its limit of two flights in the first round. I brought that scenario up with committee chairman Tim Pavlechko last week.


"We seed 1 to 8, and from then on it's trying to be fiscally responsible with those flights," Pavlechko said. "You look at the teams and the flights that are then selected. That's an important thing. Once the 16-team field is filled, the committee will go into those pairings and look at that. There might be a time where we might have more. [But] our guidelines say we have to be fiscally responsible."


Maybe that time has arrived. And this bracket would certainly reflect it, and would be much more balanced than last night's effort:


(1) Duke vs. ECAC/Loyola


* The Blue Devils start out with a regular-season rematch with a team they drilled 21-8 back in March.


(8) GWLL/Notre Dame vs. PATRIOT/Colgate


* There are enough numbers floating about that suggest Notre Dame is a top-five team. The Irish's strength of schedule is not one of them. They deserve their first-ever home tournament game, but common sense should prevail and keep them from rising too much higher than No. 8.


(5) Johns Hopkins vs. Navy


* The GWLL final didn't go the way the Mids hoped it might, but it was still a very useful weekend for Richie Meade and Co. A trip to Homewood can't be much more frustrating than than drilling the Blue Jays delivered last month.


(4) North Carolina vs. AMERICA EAST/UMBC


* UMBC could go a great many places; so much depends on how heavily the Retrievers' America East-influenced strength of schedule is really weighed.


(3) Syracuse vs. MAAC/Canisius


* Even if only two western teams are in the field, this is an easy safety valve for the committee to claim "fiscal responsibility.


(6) IVY/Cornell vs. CAA/Hofstra


* If the Pride isn't shipped to Ithaca, it might end up at Hopkins or Maryland. Cornell's alternate opponents include Colgate or a western team.


(7) Maryland vs. Ohio State


* This is just one guess, though the Buckeyes have a pretty decent case for inclusion --- victories over North Carolina and Denver (twice).


(2) Virginia vs. Denver


* Navy, Ohio State and UMBC are also logical options to be shipped to Charlottesville.


--- Patrick Stevens

Final RPI out

The NCAA has posted its final lacrosse RPI, which is supposed to account for 30 percent of the selection criteria.


If this was purely an exercise in RPI, the nine at-large teams would be Duke (No. 1), Syracuse (No. 2), Virginia (No. 3), North Carolina (No. 5), Johns Hopkins (No. 7), Ohio State (No. 8), Maryland (No. 10), Denver (No. 12) and Princeton (No. 13).


Just missing the cut would be Brown (No. 14) and Navy (No. 15). Georgetown, by the way, is at No. 18.


Of course, there's more to it than just one mathematical formula. So everyone will have to sit and wait a couple more hours until Quint Kessenich pops up on the magic box to discuss the selections on ESPNU.


--- Patrick Stevens

First round matchups set

All games on ESPNU.


Georgetown's out. Navy's in. Three teams from the west --- and three flights this season, too.


More to come later in the night.


FIRST ROUND


SATURDAY


Denver at No. 7 Maryland, noon
Loyola at No. 1 Duke, 2:30
Ohio State at No. 8 Cornell, 5
Navy at No. 4 North Carolina, 7:30


SUNDAY
Colgate at No. 6 Notre Dame, noon
Hofstra at No. 5 Johns Hopkins, 2:30
UMBC at No. 2 Virginia, 5
Canisius at No. 3 Syracuse, 7:30


QUARTERFINALS


May 17, Annapolis


UNC/Navy vs. Hopkins/Hofstra
Virginia/UMBC vs. Maryland/Denver


May 18, Ithaca. N.Y.


Duke/Loyola vs. Cornell/OSU
Syracuse/Canisius vs. ND/Colgate


SEMIFINALS


May 24, Foxboro, Mass.


FINAL


May 26, Foxboro, Mass.


--- Patrick Stevens

Georgetown's streak snapped

There are some big names absent from the NCAA tournament. Princeton certainly is one of them.


Georgetown is the other. The Hoyas' 11-year tournament streak is over, as is their six-year run of quarterfinal losses.


Instead, they'll look back at road setbacks against Loyola and Penn State as what kept them at home.


Make no mistake --- the Hoyas are the most talented team sitting on the sideline. And they may well be the best team snubbed since the field expanded to 16 teams.


But, ultimately, it wasn't a surprise.


Georgetown played in an unusually down league this season, with half the eight teams under .500 overall, another team at .500 on the button (Penn State) and a league champion (Loyola) at 7-6.


Saturday's loss was killer. Penn State, to be kind, simply wasn't all that great this season (though the Nittany Lions did manage to scuttle the at-large hopes of both Bucknell and Georgetown down the stretch). Georgetown also led 11-9 entering the final minutes, and would have probably edged into the field had it just managed to hold on.


Not to steal too much thunder from tomorrow's print edition, but here were some of coach Dave Urick's comments to me about 20 minutes after the selection show. The phone was ringing off the hook at his home --- I heard a couple calls coming in during our five-minute conversation --- and I suspect he made a similar case to anyone who would listen:


"Navy is the one we're going to have the toughest time coming to grips with," Urick said. "When you beat a team head to head on their field — and we also had a win over Duke, which no one else had. ...

"When you watch the selection show for basketball, one of the things they point out is how teams finish the season up. If you look at Navy, they lost their last three and four of their last five. I don't know if this committee does [take that into account]."

Series notes --- NCAA first round games

Just some quick hitters on each series to whet the appetite until tomorrow morning.


No. 1 Duke vs. Loyola


* Duke leads series, 10-7


* Duke won last meeting 21-8 (March 8, at Loyola)


* The teams have never met in the NCAA tournament.


No. 8 Cornell vs. Ohio State


* Series tied 1-1


* Ohio State won last meeting 8-7 (2001)


* The teams have never met in the NCAA tournament,


No. 5 Johns Hopkins vs. Hofstra


* Hopkins leads series 16-4


* Hofstra won last meeting 8-7 in overtime (March 8, at Hofstra)


* Hopkins has won all three NCAA tournament meetings (1974, 1978, 1999 quarterfinals)


No. 4 North Carolina vs. Navy


* Series tied 11-11


* North Carolina won last meeting 12-8 (May 13, 2007, at North Carolina)


* North Carolina is 4-1 against Navy in the NCAA tournament. Navy won in 1976 quarterfinals; North Carolina won in 1980 (quarters), 1981 (semis), 1982 (quarters) and 2007 (first round)


No. 3 Syracuse vs. Canisius


* First meeting


No. 6 Notre Dame vs. Colgate


* Notre Dame leads series 1-0


* Notre Dame won only meeting 11-10 (March 28, 1987, in Geneva, N.Y.)


No. 7 Maryland vs. Denver


* Maryland leads series 3-0


* Maryland won last meeting 16-8 (May 13, 2006, in College Park)


* Maryland won the teams' only NCAA tournament meeting (2006 first round)


No. 2 Virginia vs. UMBC


* Virginia leads series 12-2


* Virginia won last meeting 20-9 (April 27, 1996, in Catonsville, Md.


* The teams have never met in the NCAA tournament


--- Patrick Stevens

Five commandments of picking a national champ

They're all important, so pay no heed to the order. And while there could be 10 if I dug hard enough, but it's a bit late. If you want a sixth, the Washington Post's Christian Swezey offers this up. If you want a seventh, I suppose it's fair to point out that only one No. 8 seed has even made it past the quarterfinals (1999 Syracuse), let alone won a title.


1. Thou shalt have a top-four seed.


It's pretty simple; only one team has managed to win a national title from a slot below a No. 4 seed since the tournament began in 1971. That was North Carolina in 1986. It helps to be a top-three seed; just two No. 4 seeds --- 1987 Hopkins and 2004 Syracuse --- went home with the hardware.


Favors: Duke, Virginia, Syracuse, North Carolina
Does not favor: Everybody else


2. Thou shalt have reached at least the quarterfinals last year.


Only six teams have won a title without having made the final four the previous year (minus the first champion, of course). Of those, only 1983 Syracuse didn't have even a quarterfinal appearance to its credit.


Favors: Duke, North Carolina, Johns Hopkins, Cornell
Does not favor: Everybody else


3. Thou shalt not have lost by double-digits during the regular season.


Only two teams have ever lost by 10 goals during a regular season and rallied to win a title: 1986 North Carolina and 2004 Syracuse. Both teams took 12-goal trouncings at Hopkins, and both defeated the Blue Jays in the semifinals.


But they're exceptions, not the rule. National title-caliber teams tend not to get run off the field.


Favors: Duke, Syracuse, Notre Dame
Does not favor: Virginia, North Carolina, Johns Hopkins


4. Thou shalt not have lost more than two straight games at any juncture.


Johns Hopkins of last year is an anomaly; no other team has ever overcome a three-game losing streak and still won a title. Of course, the Blue Jays had a five-game skid this year, so maybe they can make history again.


Does not favor: Johns Hopkins, Denver, Navy, Canisius
Favors: Everybody else


5. Thou shalt have a coach who has been to the final four before.


Only five coaches have won a tournament in the first time they went to the semifinals. Two (Cornell's Richie Moran and Virginia's Glenn Thiel) did it the first two years of the tournament. Two other guys (Don Zimmerman with 1984 Hopkins and Dave Klarmann with 1991 Carolina) took over pretty well-stocked teams. And Bill Tierney outfoxed everyone in 1992 for the first of his six titles at Princeton.


And that's it. Since Tierney's first title, 13 coaches have made their first Division I final four appearance. And all of them --- Peter Lasagna, Dom Starsia, Mike Pressler, Dave Urick, John Desko, John Haus, Kevin Corrigan, Dave Pietramala, Richie Meade, Greg Cannella, Bob Shillinglaw, Jeff Tambroni and John Danowski --- left without a title in that initial final four foray.


Does not favor: Ohio State, Denver, Colgate, Hofstra, Canisius, Loyola
Favors: Everybody else


Long story short: Everything favors Duke, which makes them an even safer pick to finally collect the program's first national title.


--- Patrick Stevens

The chair checks in

You have to feel pretty good when a traveler you leave a voicemail with returns your call before he even picks up his bag from the luggage carousel.


It's even better when it's the chairman of a tournament selection committee that wrapped up its work a few hours earlier.


It's getting pretty late --- and I want to have some goodies left over for tomorrow --- but here is Bucknell senior associate AD and lacrosse committee chair Tim Pavlechko's take on the exclusion of Georgetown from this year's field.


"Georgetown had a great year and there were more than 16 teams that deserve to be in this tournament," Pavlechko said. "There was a bundle of teams that we were splitting hairs on. Georgetown was one of the teams we spent a lot of time talking about. We held as firm as we could to the selection criteria, and looking at the one thing that was most difficult for Georgetown was the strength of schedule."


Pavlechko also mentioned the results-driven criteria as well, but this pretty much confirms what seemed to be the best explanation for Georgetown's exclusion: The ECAC was middling at best this season, and the Hoyas were forced to play seven of their 13 games against that competition.


Even after tossing Mount St. Mary's and league opponents Fairfield and St. John's from the strength of schedule equation, Georgetown still had to count Penn State, Rutgers and Massachusetts among its top 10 opponents. And in reality, Loyola, Hobart and Delaware didn't do all that much to help, either.


Compare that with at-large pick Denver, which got to jettison anyone not in the top half of the final RPI from its schedule strength calculation. Or Navy, which just played a larger number of quality teams (Hopkins, Maryland, Ohio State, Georgetown, Cornell, Bucknell, Army, Colgate twice) than the Hoyas did.


OK, that's it for tonight. Expect plenty more fallout tomorrow and the opening of the tournament inches closer.


--- Patrick Stevens

A walk-on-related APR leftover

Been a little busy the last few days, with the NCAA's release of the Academic Progress Rate filling up a lot of time yesterday.


Since Howard's football team incurred penalties from the NCAA, it bumped the usual lead of any academics-related story --- Maryland basketball --- deeper into the story.


Still, it was important to talk to Terrapins coach Gary Williams, who has his lines for these occasions well-rehearsed by now.


I happen to agree with Williams' assertion that it's a prudent decision for guys to withdraw from classes to pursue far more money in pro basketball than they'd make initially coming out of school and entering the "real" workforce.


It's especially true when the NBA is in play. No one should begrudge Maryland or D.J. Strawberry for Strawberry's decision last spring to bolt College Park --- a choice that ultimately got him into Phoenix's organization.


But what is irritating is Williams' eagerness to toy with the numbers. He proudly said the Terps would be 8-for-10 in graduating seniors whose eligibility expired between 2007 and 2009.


That's all well and good, but for the NCAA's purposes, it's really 6-for-8. Walk-ons, such as Gini Chukura and Jason McAlpin, don't count in the calculations, and I pointed this out to Williams.


"He's my player and he counts to me. ...," Williams said. "People are always trying to put labels on people. It happens a lot of the time. I'm not one of those people."


That's certainly swell. There's no doubt Chukura and McAlpin are good guys and were useful parts for the Terps in recent years. But no scholarship means no consideration in the NCAA's number crunching. That goes for the APR and for the graduation success rate, in which Maryland so famously earned a zero percent for last fall.


There are things to argue about in the APR system. Since an athlete can get two points each semester --- one for eligibility, one for retention/graduation --- anyone who transfers automatically costs the school a point. So Maryland will lose a point for Shane Walker's transfer, even though Williams said Walker will leave College Park in good academic standing.


What does not help is to be disingenuous about the numbers. Ekene Ibekwe, Will Bowers and Parrish Brown graduated last year, while Mike Jones and Strawberry did not. James Gist and Bambale Osby are expected to graduate this month. Williams said Dave Neal is on track to graduate next spring.


That makes 6-for-8 on scholarship players, which is good --- but not as good as 8-for-10. The tendency toward statistical chicanery does not enhance any arguments coming from Williams, it hurts them. And heavens knows he'll be making them for a few more years.


The mass exodus of the class of 2006 (Chris McCray, Nik Caner-Medley, Travis Garrison and Sterling Ledbetter) will anchor down Maryland's APR for a couple more years before that class finally cycles out of the data. And that will leave Williams to put his own spin on the academic state of his program in the interim, a lingering black eye and nuisance from a group whose exploits are not exactly the stuff of legend in College Park.


--- Patrick Stevens

Rubeor among Tewaaraton finalists

To find finalists for most postseason awards, it's usually easy enough to pluck a player off each of the top four or so teams and then add in someone else, even if it's from one of the teams already represented.


This year's bunch of Tewaaraton Trophy finalists perfectly fits that description.


No. 1 Duke has Matt Danowski and Zack Greer.


No. 2 Virginia has Ben Rubeor.


No. 3 Syracuse has Mike Leveille.


No. 4 (according to the Inside Lacrosse poll) Johns Hopkins has Paul Rabil.


Funny thing is, if you replaced Leveille with Cornell's Max Seibald, you would have come up with the likely list a casual fan would have produced in the preseason.


So there's no qualms with the Tewaaraton committee at all, even if the results were reasonably predictable.


As for who wins the thing? I'd take a guy from whoever wins the national title. The last six winners came from the team that captured the championship, and since the vote occurs after the tournament, the results will loom quite large in the minds of panel members.


--- Patrick Stevens

The men behind the lacrosse mike

For those fortunate enough to have ESPNU, there will be back-to-back live lacrosse quadrupleheaders this weekend.


If you're me, you'll be covering games at Maryland and Virginia and maybe ducking into a College Park establishment to catch one or two of the games Saturday evening. But you're not me, so you might have a chance to sample a little bit of every game.


Everyone has their preferred announcers, even in this sport, so I thought I'd mention which broadcasters the WWL is deploying for the first round.


Dave Cohen and Mark Dixon: Denver at Maryland, Saturday, noon; Colgate at Notre Dame, Sunday, noon.


Eamon McAnaney and Matt Ward: Loyola at Duke, Saturday, 2:30 p.m.; Hofstra at Johns Hopkins, Sunday, 2:30 p.m.


Rob Simmelkjaer and Jack Emmer: Ohio State at Cornell, Saturday, 5 p.m.; Canisius at Syracuse, Sunday, 7:30 p.m.


Dave Ryan, Quint Kessenich and Melissa Knowles: Navy at North Carolina, Saturday, 7:30 p.m.; UMBC at Virginia, Sunday, 5 p.m.


--- Patrick Stevens

The road to nowhere

Lacrosse coaches, like their football and basketball brethren, love to talk about parity. And compared to a decade ago, parity very much exists.


But it is usually not enough to neutralize a home-field advantage in the first round of the NCAA tournament.


This is the sixth year of the 16-team tournament with home sites in the opening games. And if the first 40 games in this format are any indication, there probably won't be many surprises this weekend.


The home team is 35-5, with only 2003 Georgetown (at Rutgers), 2005 Cornell (at Towson), 2006 Massachusetts (at Cornell), 2007 Delaware (at Virginia) and 2007 UMBC (at Maryland) springing upsets.


Put another way, one wacky evening last May accounted for nearly half of the road victories in the first round over the last five years.


Close games is another way of looking at it. A fair definition of "close" is probably three goals, though it isn't hard to find a 9-6 game that was once a 9-3 game before things grew tighter during garbage time.


Nevertheless, of the 40 games over the last five years, just 12 have been decided by three goals or less. Four of those close games actually came in 2003, which runs counter to the parity talk.


There are certainly plenty of matchups that could prove to be close. There could even be a few victories on the road. But it's better to anticipate chalk in the first round (and often beyond), since that's what the NCAA tournament tends to serve up.


--- Patrick Stevens

An updated pre-preseason top 35

It was only a month ago that the first preseason basketball rankings for 2008-09 popped up. Heck, there was one here.


Well, there have been plenty of revisions. And such is the case here as well thanks to early entrants to the NBA Draft.


Every team is treated as if their players in the draft won't be returning, so it will be worth coming out with another set of rankings in late June once the deadline to remain in the draft has passed. There are some teams that got shuffled up because they were overlooked a month ago (Oklahoma, and to a lesser extent Marquette, UNLV and Wake Forest). Guys who could theoretically return are in parentheses.


1. Connecticut. Assuming A.J. Price is healthy, the Huskies could be in very, very good shape.


2. Pittsburgh. OK, had the Panthers a tick underrated before. They'll fall back toward the middle of the top 10 as players return to school, but they'll still be formidable with Sam Young back.


3. North Carolina (Ty Lawson, Wayne Ellington, Danny Green): Yep, the Tar Heels are this high even with three of their top six players in the draft. Getting Tyler Hansbrough will do that.


4. Louisville: Hey, look, another Big East team. Derrick Caracter won't be back, but that's probably for the best. Earl Clark's decision to remain makes placing the Cardinals in the top five last month looks more credible.


5. Texas (A.J. Abrams): The Longhorns won't be No. 1 without D.J. Augustin. But they still have a lot of superb pieces to remain a top-10 team.


6. UCLA (Kevin Love, Russell Westbrook, Josh Shipp, Luc Richard Mbah a Moute): The Bruins' recruiting class is good enough to land them back in contention for another Final Four trip.


7. Purdue: Scott Martin has transferred out, but the Boilermakers should still be the Big Ten's top team.


8. Duke: The Blue Devils stay where they were a month ago. And this should be about where they start next season.


9. Notre Dame: Much like Duke, the Fighting Irish should be very, very good last year (EDIT thanks to a careful reader: Next year, too. Oops!). Not sure if they can be Final Four good, but it's tough to envision them as anything but a tough out even after they fall a bit with players coming back to school.


10. Tennessee: Does Bobby Maze solve the point guard questions? Who knows. But the Volunteers are still in decent shape to pace the SEC.


11. Kansas (Mario Chalmers, Darrell Arthur)
12. Michigan State
13. Ohio State (Kosta Koufos)
14. Villanova
15. Florida (Marreese Speights)
16. Memphis (Antonio Anderson, Robert Dozier)
17. Georgetown
18. Davidson
19. West Virginia (Joe Alexander)
20. Wisconsin
21. Gonzaga (Jeremy Pargo)
22. Miami
23. San Diego
24. Oklahoma
25. Arizona State
26. Southern California
27. Syracuse (Donte Greene)
28. Xavier
29. Kentucky
30. Virginia Tech
31. UNLV
32. Clemson
33. Baylor
34. Marquette (Jerel McNeal)
35. Wake Forest


--- Patrick Stevens

Spring was in the air

Unlike Buzz Bissinger --- well, at least the pre-apologetic Buzz Bissinger --- you don't need to convince me there are some useful sports blogs out there run by fans.


One that I consider appointment reading at least a few times a week is Troy Nunes Is An Absolute Magician, a highly entertaining look at Syracuse sports.


Anyway, that blog linked to an interesting graphic from the Birmingham News about attendance at spring football games of BCS conference schools in the last couple months.


(You can go ahead and note the irony of finding any useful football-related tidbit in any way connected with Syracuse).


I'm not sure which a more frightening statement on society: That most people struggle to name all of the justices on the Supreme Court, or that 16 BCS schools (plus Southern Mississippi) could claim attendance figures in five figures despite actually charging fans for the privilege to watch a glorified scrimmage.


At least Missouri and Oregon can claim three food items would get you in the door.


Anyway, the median number for the 64 schools that produced attendance figures was 14,308, the average of No. 32 Rutgers and No. 33 Oregon. Michigan had a closed spring game and North Carolina held a regular scrimmage after poor weather fouled up its spring game plans, accounting for the two BCS schools not included.


It should come as little surprise that much of the ACC was below the median figure. Miami (11,000), Maryland (10,221), Georgia Tech (8,500), Wake Forest (4,100), Virginia (4,000), Boston College (3,500) and Duke (3,250) all checked in on the second half of the chart. Florida State and Virginia Tech both claimed attendance of 30,000, but that still didn't crack the top 10 nationally.


On the bright side, no ACC schools charged admission. It's oddly heartwarming to know no one was snookered out of any money in the Land of the Larger Geographic Footprint to watch vanilla football.


At least not yet this year, anyway.


--- Patrick Stevens

Opening round picks

There's still a few more first-round goodies to get to before the NCAA lacrosse tournament starts, but what's a postseason without some picks that will inevitably be pilloried in the weeks to come.


This doesn't seem like a year to expect many surprises at the top. A Duke-Virginia-Syracuse-Hopkins final four would not be stunning, and a Duke-over-Virginia final --- in a very tight game --- is the pick here.


But first up is the round of 16, where everyone is looking for a chic upset pick. Trouble is, it probably won't be easy to find.


SATURDAY


No. 7 Maryland vs. Denver: Everyone wants to say the Pioneers don't belong in the tournament, and it very well might be true that they wouldn't beat Georgetown on a neutral field. But Denver did a great job of playing the RPI/strength of schedule game, and benefited from early wins (Colgate and Brown) that looked better than anyone would have guessed.


The Pioneers play a brand of organized chaos, but one pattern tends to stand out over the years: They don't like leaving the Mountain time zone.


Denver is 29-5 in Colorado over the last four years. Elsewhere, they are a measly 11-18.


In 2006, when both Denver and Maryland were better (and paired together), the Pioneers were 10-0 in Colorado and 2-4 elsewhere entering the tournament. The Terrapins drubbed them 16-8.


This year, Denver is 8-0 at altitude and 2-6 everywhere else. One of those wins was on a neutral field against Notre Dame, but don't bet on the Pioneers adding to the total.


Pick: Maryland 12, Denver 8


No. 1 Duke vs. Loyola: This does not look pleasant on paper. The Blue Devils won a regular season meeting 21-8 in Baltimore, and this will be the final final home game for the likes of Matt Danowski and his fellow fifth-year seniors. Loyola, which can be a bit erratic, should make it closer. But that won't stop Duke from cruising.


Pick: Duke 18, Loyola 9


No. 8 Cornell vs. Ohio State: You know what sort of team you might want to avoid picking? One that scored just two goals against anyone its last time out, especially a team that was busy demolishing the weaker sisters on its schedule in the middle of the season. The Buckeyes seemed a shade underrated for much of the season, and while Cornell is no juggernaut in 2008, the Big Red should have just enough to survive and earn a spot in the quarterfinals for the fourth time in five years.


Pick: Cornell 10, Ohio State 8


No. 4 North Carolina vs. Navy: On paper, the Tar Heels should have this one under control in Chapel Hill. But neither team has played in more than two weeks, and it's anyone's guess how that will play out. Chances are, Carolina will be fine if Grant Zimmerman gets hot and the rash of penalties incurred in the second half of the ACC semifinal loss to Duke can be avoided.


And here's a Betcha-didn't-know stat: Between Washington College, Johns Hopkins and North Carolina, John Haus-coached teams are 7-0 in their NCAA tournament openers.


Pick: North Carolina 11, Navy 9


SUNDAY


No. 6 Notre Dame vs. Colgate: It's nice to know the quarterfinal field will include at least one team that isn't a usual suspect. And in some ways, this is the most curious first round game of them all.


The computer numbers place Notre Dame's body of work in a favorable light. But the Irish is only 3-2 against teams in the tournament field and it's hard to really decipher how good they are.


No one would be surprised if Ohio State and Denver were bounced on the opening day. If Notre Dame joins them on the sideline so quickly, the howls and protests from Selection Sunday will echo into the second weekend of the tournament.


And if I was looking for an upset, this is where I'd begin to zero in, with a torrid team fresh off a victory over Syracuse making the trip to Indiana.


Pick: Colgate 11, Notre Dame 10 (OT)


No. 5 Johns Hopkins vs. Hofstra: There are lots of lacrosse traditions at Hopkins. One of them for nearly two decades has been not losing the final game of the season at Homewood Field, even if it comes in the NCAA tournament.


The Blue Jays last dropped a home finale in 1991, when Syracuse poached a quarterfinal victory in Tony Seaman's first season. Since then, the Hop has won home tournament games in 1992, 1993, 1994, 1995, 1996, 2000, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005 (twice), 2006 and 2007. That's 13 straight postseason victories at home.


So, sure, Hofstra nabbed Hopkins in lousy weather on Long Island early in the season. Lightning isn't going to strike twice, even if Seth Tierney has shown his head coaching chops in his second season with the CAA champion Pride.


Pick: Hopkins 11, Hofstra 7


No. 2 Virginia vs. UMBC: Retrievers fans don't want to hear about how their team's computer numbers weren't all that great --- not as good as Denver's, by the way. They look at their No. 5 ranking and wonder just why they got sent down to Charlottesville.


It probably would have been more fair to ship UMBC to North Carolina. But here's a reality: Attackman Ryan Smith (team-high 29 goals) tore up his knee last weekend, and that no doubt will mean something to the Doggies' offense. My guess is it won't be good, even if they performed a miracle by rallying past Albany in the America East final.


Don Zimmerman will juggle the parts at his disposal as deftly as anyone could. But he's also going to have to deal with a Virginia attack of Ben Rubeor, Danny Glading and Garrett Billings that had the luxury of two weeks to finally get a bit healthier.


The Cavaliers should look as good as they have at any point since late March. And that does not bode well for the Retrievers.


Pick: Virginia 15, UMBC 10


No. 3 Syracuse vs. Canisius: Well, congrats go out to the Golden Griffins for making their first tournament appearance. But here's a little history lesson on what it means to be the Metro Atlantic's representative in the postseason.


In 2002, Georgetown beat MAAC champ Manhattan 12-7. (The Hoyas also outshot the Jaspers 62-17).


In 2003, Virginia beat MAAC champion Mount St. Mary's 19-8.


In 2004, Johns Hopkins beat MAAC champion Providence 15-3.


In 2005, Johns Hopkins beat MAAC champion Marist 22-6.


In 2006, Hofstra beat MAAC champion Providence 14-8.


In 2007, Duke beat MAAC champion Providence 18-3.


On average, the MAAC champion has been outscored by nearly 11 goals.


This is not to rip on the MAAC. It's just to say Canisius will be the lacrosse equivalent of what Mississippi Valley State or Portland State were in the men's basketball tournament in March, and will not be enjoying an extended stay in the tournament.


Pick: Syracuse 16, Canisius 6


--- Patrick Stevens

A bad day for the computers

No team's NCAA lacrosse tournament seeding seemed out of whack to the common fan last weekend than North Carolina at No. 4.


No team's inclusion in the field seemed stranger than Denver's to that same group of people.


And after the first day of the tournament, both teams are heading home.


North Carolina, in fact, is already home, and may well be drowning its sorrows on Franklin Street by now.


Denver put up a decent fight before losing 10-7 to Maryland. Carolina, meanwhile, lost 8-7 to Navy.


The Pioneers had solid RPI and strength of schedule numbers, but other than a victory over relatively untested Notre Dame they had done little that at the time stood out as overly impressive.


The Tar Heels produced their typical 0-for-the-ACC and lost a neutral site game to Ohio State. They did beat Johns Hopkins, Notre Dame and Cornell, and wound up with a gaudy RPI and nation's top-ranked schedule. But good luck finding many people who ever thought Carolina was the fourth-best team in the country.


The selection committee used the criteria at its disposal, and based upon that selected the correct 16 teams.


But the criteria may well be flawed.


After watching Denver commit 29 turnovers at Byrd Stadium, it's tough to believe Georgetown wouldn't have fared a bit better (though the Hoyas still don't have anyone to blame but themselves for not making the tournament).


After listening to Carolina trail nearly the entire night to a Navy team that hadn't won in more than a month, it's tough to believe Johns Hopkins and Maryland should not have been seeded higher than the Tar Heels regardless of what the computer spit out.


One of the interesting quirks of the RPI in basketball is that it is generally considered wholly irrelevant until at least mid-January, when teams are about 15 games into the season. That, of course, is about what goes into an entire season of the lacrosse RPI.


It raises a valid statistical question: Is the sample size large enough to rely on RPI as nearly a third of the selection criteria?


Today's results should not be considered a rebuke of the committee members.


But it could be a sign the committee needs to re-evaluate the quality of the tools it is using.


--- Patrick Stevens

Maryland's goalie games

It was early March --- and a few games into a season-long juggling of goalies --- when Maryland coach Dave Cottle said he was looking for either sophomore Brian Phipps or junior Jason Carter to work their save percentage above 60 percent before he settled on a guy.


Phipps (64.9 percent) has, his latest effort six saves and two goals allowed in yesterday's 10-7 victory over Denver in the NCAA tournament. Carter, at 56.1 percent, has not.


The goalie rotation, however, continues. If all goes according to pattern, Phipps will start next weekend's quarterfinal and Carter will probably take over in the second half.


This is the first time in Cottle's 26-year career he has regularly played two goalies each game. Deep down, it's probably not a stretch to think he would have hoped he wouldn't still be doing this in the postseason. Coaches, after all, like it when they have one less thing to worry about, even if they'll conjure something else to be anxious about to fill the void.


But at goalie --- like at quarterback in football --- an extra wrench is thrown into the equation.


That's because there is a built-in inevitable question each game. Why did you make a switch? If you didn't, why not? If one of them lays an egg in the postseason, those questions get amplified.


Since in raw numbers there is a not statistically irrelevant difference between Phipps and Carter, it seemed reasonable to break down the numbers a little more. Here's how they've fared in nine games against teams with .500 or better records:


Carter: 58 saves, 40 goals allowed, .592 save percentage


Phipps: 37 saves, 28 goals allowed, .569 save percentage.


(By comparison, Carter's save percentage against the Terps' six sub-.500 opponents was .509; Phipps' was a whopping .755).


It should be noted Carter didn't play against Penn and only logged a quarter against Mount St. Mary's. Phipps didn't play against Johns Hopkins and barely played in the regular season meeting with Virginia. That just might account for some of the overall discrepancy.


Cottle may yet face questions about his goalies next weekend. It helps that the Terps' have already played to their seed, and it would help more if they managed to keep the quarterfinal against Virginia or UMBC to a point where the score doesn't stretch too far into double digits.


His decision to continue rotating goalies, however, is supported by the numbers.


--- Patrick Stevens

How should Danowski's record be viewed?

One of the interesting (though in the long term, probably fairly meaningless) subplots of the NCAA's decision to grant an extra year of eligibility to all of the freshmen, sophomores and juniors from Duke's 2006 lacrosse team was the impact on the record book.


Sure, those guys lost the second half of the 2006 season in the wake of rape accusations and a generally due process-free circus in Durham. But should the numbers rolled up in eight games that year still count for something.


This is a relevant point since fifth-year senior Matt Danowski broke the NCAA career points record yesterday. Danowski now has 347 points (167 goals, 180 assists), passing the 343 rolled up by Air Force's Joe Vasta from 1983 to 1986.


But if you take away the 26 points Danowski earned in 2006, he falls back to 321 points. That's still second all-time, and not too shabby. But it would still be hard to make it back to 343 with no more than three games left --- though if anyone is capable of averaging nearly eight points a game in the postseason, it's Danowski.


(This rhetoric doesn't really affect attackman Zack Greer, who holds the NCAA record for career goals with 199. Greer is only in his fourth year, so no one should argue his mark's legitimacy. Greer might have played far more games overall in the last four years than some others on the list, but it's still his record).


Since only three other guys who played in the last decade even have 260 points --- Syracuse's Casey, Ryan and Michael Powell --- chances are Danowski won't have much company at the top of the points list.


During a trip to Durham late last month, I asked a few people in the program what they thought of this situation. It never made it into the story that ran last week in the print edition, but this seems as good a time as any to drop in these snippets from the cutting room floor.


JOHN DANOWSKI, coach


"The sad part is the guys here, they could care less. Do whatever you want but I think to seniors from 2006, that's their senior year and to take away out of the record books for them would be to say what you did didn't exist."


MICHAEL WARD, fifth-year defensive midfielder


"I think that's one way to go about it. I'm not breaking any record, I don't have any interest in it. I can understand that. If you want to strike that season and truly replace it, then that's fine. I really think at the end of the day, if we're the 2008 national champions, that's the only stat I care about."


TONY McDEVITT, fifth-year defenseman


"I don't think that would be too far off. Statistics are a part of sports, but when it comes down to it they don't really mean anything beyond the win and the loss. I'd have no problem with them doing that [and tossing the numbers].


"I think there's some symbolic value to those eight games. I think it would be tough on the seniors from that year. They're the forgotten ones. They're the ones we feel bad for. They're done. We play Cornell, lose 11-7, and their Duke lacrosse careers are over. I don't know if I could deal with that. For those 12 guys, I don't think you can do that. So I don't think that will ever happen.


"Especially coming a defenseman, what are you going to do, get rid of my 12 groundballs? I don't think you can do it because of those seniors. Matt Zash, Dan Flannery, Bret Thompson, all those guys, they were legit and they want to have that 6-2."


That's a look from inside the Duke program. How about some thoughts from outside it? Should the NCAA affix an asterisk for a record earned over an extra half-season of eligibility? Or should it stand as is?


--- Patrick Stevens

It's POURING in Charlottesville

CHARLOTTESVILLE --- Just my luck: Drive three hours from D1scourse headquarters in Glen Burnie, only to be stuck sitting around and waiting for the forseeable future.


It's closing in on an hour before game time, and neither Virginia nor UMBC is anywhere to be seen for their first round NCAA lacrosse tournament meeting. No fans are anywhere to be found, other than at the adjacent baseball stadium. Heck, even Quint Kessenich hasn't popped up, and he's pretty much everywhere.


What can be seen is lightning. And rain. Lots and lots of rain.


So those plans to make it back to the Burn by midnight? Pretty much dashed.


--- Patrick Stevens

Weather update from Virginia

CHARLOTTESVILLE --- Visitors have popped up to the Klockner Stadium press box bearing some bad news.


From the sounds of things, no one is heading onto the field until the lightning warning in the area is gone. And that sounds like it won't be until 5:40 at the earliest.


That's just the start for warmups. It would be unreasonable to expect a start time much earlier than 6:15, and it probably won't be until a bit later than that.


So it's going to be a longer night than expected at Mr. Jefferson's university.


More updates as they roll in. I'm sure not going anywhere.


--- Patrick Stevens

Developments in Charlottesville

CHARLOTTESVILLE --- A Virginia goalie is on the field.


UMBC's players have just come into the stadium.


Most importantly, Quint Kessenich is here. The decree is official: The game can start --- at least at some point, anyway.


Indeed, there's a chance this first round game could be underway sooner than expected.


The area radar suggests the worst weather has passed through the area. Of course, there are some big puddles on the Klockner Stadium pitch (this is, after all, also a soccer facility), so the biggest delay is probably going to come from getting the field in a playable condition.


--- Patrick Stevens

Approximate Virginia-UMBC start time: 5:35 p.m.

CHARLOTTESVILLE --- It's 5:05 p.m.


There's 29 minutes and counting in the Klockner Stadium scoreboard.


So it looks like things will get underway about 35 minutes late. And that's a lot better than anyone would have guessed an hour ago.


--- Patrick Stevens

Series notes --- NCAA quarterfinals

Some quick hitters on this week's four games:


SATURDAY


No. 2 Virginia vs. No. 7 Maryland, noon


* Maryland leads series 45-35


* The teams have split two games this season; Maryland won 13-7 at Byrd Stadium on March 29. Virginia won 11-8 in the ACC semifinals at Klockner Stadium on April 25.


* Maryland has won three of four NCAA tournament meetings. The Terrapins won in the quarterfinals in 1978 (15-10), 1983 (13-4) and 1997 (10-9). Virginia won in the 2003 semifinals (14-4).


No. 4 Johns Hopkins at Navy, 3 p.m.


* Hopkins leads series 55-25-1 and has won 34 straight meetings


* Hopkins won 12-5 on April 21 in Annapolis


* The teams have never met in the NCAA tournament


* The teams have met every year since 1950, but never twice in a season


SUNDAY


No. 1 Duke vs. Ohio State, noon


* Duke leads series 5-2.


* Duke won last meeting 21-8 on April 2, 2005.


* The team have never met in the NCAA tournament


No. 3 Syracuse vs. No. 6 Notre Dame, 3 p.m.


* Syracuse leads series 2-0


* Syracuse won last meeting 19-13 on March 11, 2004, at the Carrier Dome


* Syracuse won the teams’ only NCAA tournament meeting, a 12-5 victory in the 2001 semifinals.


--- Patrick Stevens

Big-time athletic departments and big-time lacrosse

Look at the schools still standing in the NCAA lacrosse tournament.


Duke. Ohio State. Navy. Virginia. Maryland. Syracuse. Notre Dame.


Oh, and Johns Hopkins.


All but the Hop compete in college football's highest division. Compete, of course, is used very loosely for Duke, Syracuse and 2007 Notre Dame, but all of those schools are members of what used to be called Division I-A.


Thing is, there are only 12 of those schools playing Division I lacrosse (Air Force, Army, North Carolina, Penn State and Rutgers are the others). None have added lacrosse since 1981.


The major-college influence was always in the sport because of the ACC schools and Syracuse, but never to this extent. The fine seasons Notre Dame and Ohio State produced certainly have helped expand that presence.


Interestingly enough, last year only two of those dozen I-A schools reached the quarterfinals --- the lowest total in the event's history.


Don't think it's a bit unusual? Here are the last 25 seasons worth of lacrosse quarterfinalists from I-A members.


1984: 5 (Army, North Carolina, Rutgers, Syracuse, Virginia)
1985: 4 (Army, North Carolina, Syracuse, Virginia)
1986: 6 (Maryland, Navy, North Carolina, Rutgers, Syracuse, Virginia
1987: 4 (Maryland, Navy, North Carolina, Syracuse)
1988: 4 (Navy, North Carolina, Syracuse, Virginia)
1989: 4 (Maryland, Navy, North Carolina, Syracuse)
1990: 3 (North Carolina, Rutgers, Syracuse)
1991: 3 (Maryland, North Carolina, Syracuse)
1992: 3 (Maryland, North Carolina, Syracuse)
1993: 4 (Army, North Carolina, Syracuse, Virginia)
1994: 4 (Duke, North Carolina, Syracuse, Virginia)
1995: 4 (Maryland, Notre Dame, Syracuse, Virginia)
1996: 4 (Maryland, North Carolina, Syracuse, Virginia)
1997: 4 (Duke, Maryland, Syracuse, Virginia)
1998: 4 (Duke, Maryland, Syracuse, Virginia)
1999: 3 (Duke, Syracuse, Virginia)
2000: 5 (Duke, Maryland, Notre Dame, Syracuse, Virginia)
2001: 3 (Maryland, Notre Dame, Syracuse)
2002: 3 (Duke, Syracuse, Virginia)
2003: 3 (Maryland, Syracuse, Virginia)
2004: 4 (Maryland, Navy, North Carolina, Syracuse)
2005: 4 (Duke, Maryland, Navy, Virginia)
2006: 3 (Maryland, Syracuse, Virginia)
2007: 2 (Duke, North Carolina)
2008: 7 (Duke, Maryland, Navy, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Syracuse, Virginia)


--- Patrick Stevens

The dream doubleheader

Really, could the quarterfinal doubleheader in Annapolis have been scripted any better?


Maryland-Virginia is a sure-fire attraction for casual fans. And if Johns Hopkins-Navy can draw 15,000 during the regular season, it should be able to at least match that (assuming decent weather) with a final four berth on the line on Saturday.


Of course, that means it could be a madhouse getting into Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.


Not to fear: Navy SID Scott Strasemeier has passed along some information on getting to the games. Some of the highlights include this (follow the link for directions):


Tickets are available now at www.navysports.com or by calling 1-800-US4-NAVY. Fans are urged to buy their tickets in advance as a record-setting crowd is expected. Ticket prices are $12 for adults and $10 for students. All tickets are general admission seating. All purchased tickets will be held at will call and can be picked up in the North End Zone on game day. Game day ticket sales will also be located in the North End Zone. The ticket office will open on Saturday at 10:30 a.m.


Parking will be available at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium for $5. The Gate 5 lot off Taylor Avenue will open at 6 a.m., while the rest of the gates will open at 9 a.m. Please plan on arriving early, as the lot will fill up fast. Stadium gates will open at 10:30 a.m.


A free shuttle service will also be provided from the Harry S. Truman Park and Ride lot to the North End Zone of Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. Fans are encouraged to utilize this service in order to avoid the congestion on Route 50 and around the stadium. Busses will depart the stadium and return to the Harry S. Truman Park and Ride throughout the game and up to one hour after the game.


The Harry S. Truman Park and Ride lot is located at Harry S. Truman Parkway and Riva Road near the Maryland Motor Vehicle Administration in Annapolis.


--- Patrick Stevens

A no-hitter for the Terpies

This generally isn't the place for college baseball insight. After all, Shipley Field was considered one of the best places on Maryland's campus to study at the turn of the millennium.


But the Terrapins merit a nod for a 30-win season (the second in school history) this spring. And they got their 30th win in magnificent fashion, with sophomore Scott Swinson tossing a no-hitter and striking out 10 this afternoon at Delaware.


Swinson went 5-4 with a 4.96 ERA, 71 strikeouts and 25 walks over 85 1/3 innings. In the land of metal bats, that's not bad at all.


The eternal question facing that program is just how to compete when geography and history conspire against you and your facilities are not top-of-the-line. Virginia, hardly a traditional baseball titan, helped make the first two problems vanish by constructing a gorgeous stadium that opened in 2002. The Cavaliers are now a postseason regular.


Maryland hasn't reached the NCAA tournament since 1971, a problem mitigated by the presence of three of the nation's top four teams in this week's Baseball America rankings (Miami, North Carolina and Florida State) and enough other programs with the propensity to be pretty good more often than not (Clemson, Georgia Tech, N.C. State and Virginia spring to mind).


It should be pointed out that the Terps basically did what they always have to do if they want to have a winning season --- dominate a nonconference schedule filled mostly with area and regional teams interested in defeating an ACC opponent regardless of whether it is Maryland or Miami.


The Terps were 9-21 in conference play, and 21-5 outside the league. Since Feb. 29, that nonconference record rises to 20-2.


Maryland deserves credit both for that and for leaving their friends-and-family fan base (average home attendance: 348) with a fine finale, even if it was on the road.


But given the program's history it's also fair to wonder, as Jack Nicholson once did on the big screen, if maybe this is as good as it gets.


--- Patrick Stevens

Singing the same sad song

Tell me if you've heard this one before?


A 12-team league with a lot of mediocrity and little dead weight earns four NCAA men's basketball tournament berths. Coaches soon complain about how a league that is ranked at or near the top in every statistical measure got jobbed. Coaches then promise to do a better job of promoting the conference the next year.


That was the ACC in 2006. And it's the ACC in 2008.


Must be an election year --- ACC coaches are beating the drum again.


And here's the thing --- it's pretty silly.


For years, any intelligent fan has known that teams earn NCAA bids, not leagues. The conference rankings are meaningless and say little about the elite programs; rather, league RPI does a good job of identifying which conference's bad teams are less bad than other conferences.


(Quick aside: Conference affiliation did once mean something in the NCAA's bracketing procedures. According to the 2008 NCAA Men's Final Four Records Book, this change was made in 1978 before more progressive seeding measures were taken in the early 1980s:


"A seeding process was used for the first time for individual teams. A maximum of four automatic-qualifying conference teams were seeded in each of the four regional brackets. These teams were seeded based on their respective conferences' won-lost percentages during the past five years.")


The ACC generally has the market cornered on avoiding truly wretched teams. No ACC team has finished with less than 10 wins since 2002, when a team that wore North Carolina's jerseys but looked nothing like any Carolina team of the last 40 years went 8-20.


The Big 12 has had four such teams that played full seasons in the last six seasons (2004 Baylor, 2004 Texas A&M, 2005 Baylor and 2007 Colorado). The Big East had three (2004 St. John's, 2005 St. John's and 2006 South Florida).


The Big Ten had seven (2003 Penn State, 2004 Penn State, 2005 Penn State, 2005 Purdue, 2006 Purdue, 2007 Minnesota and 2008 Northwestern). The Pac-10 had three (2003 Washington State, 2007 Arizona State and 2008 Oregon State). The SEC had two (2003 Arkansas and 2005 Georgia).


But is the argument that there is no Oregon State, no Northwestern or no South Florida to beat up on really the grounds for such squabbling? Not really.


Although Virginia Tech sure looked like a tournament-caliber team by the end of last season, it didn't need to go lose to Old Dominion and Richmond and fail to beat a tournament-bound team until March 14.


Passing the eyeball test is nice, but you need to actually build a resume beyond going 9-7 in conference while playing an unbalanced league schedule. Virginia Tech didn't play North Carolina, Duke, Clemson or Miami --- the ACC's four NCAA teams --- twice in the regular season, which just goes to show not all 9-7s are built the same. The Hokies, it should be noted, went 1-7 against teams that ultimately received NCAA invites.


Pretty much any other recent snub of note provided ample ammunition on its own to justify a postseason exclusion.


If Clemson wanted to reach the tournament in 2007, it shouldn't have gone 4-10 to finish the regular season.


If Florida State wanted to reach the tournament in 2007, it shouldn't have lost five games in a row in February. (This is probably the most deserving team on this list; the committee probably should have considered the effect of point guard Toney Douglas' injury during that costly stretch, especially since he returned for the ACC tournament).


If Florida State wanted to reach the tournament in 2006, it shouldn't have waited until March to beat a tournament-bound team and probably should have played something a bit better than the nation's 316th-ranked nonconference schedule (2008 Arizona State can commiserate on the latter trait).


If Maryland wanted to reach the tournament in 2006, well, it probably should have beaten someone of substance at some point after it took its final exams for the 2005 fall semester --- and certainly after it lost its leading scorer at the start of the next semester.


It's not about promotion, or chest-beating, or getting Digger Phelps to place a team in his amorphous field of 87 (Warning: Size of Phelps' tournament field subject to change by the day).


It's not about a commissioner grand-standing for the cameras or the dozens of mock brackets scattered all over Al Gore's Invention, it's not about whether another league is better top to bottom and it's not even that much about most of the numbers a computer in Indianapolis spits out.


It's about being one of the 34 best at-large teams. ACC coaches will have to come to that conclusion eventually.


After all, no team has ever talked their way into the NCAA tournament.


--- Patrick Stevens

The ballad of Dave Cottle

TERPS_019_04011805.jpg


I had dinner recently with a friend from the West Coast, a place where until very recently virtually no one would have been able to identify a lacrosse stick in a lineup even if there was only one other item to choose from.


As I needlessly prattled on about how Princeton, Syracuse, Virginia and Johns Hopkins have taken turns winning every title since 1992, he wondered aloud about Maryland.


To paraphrase his observation: It must tick them off to have not won a title in so long.


In some quarters, the Terrapins' national title drought --- since 1975 --- becomes more irksome by the day. Maryland is, after all, located in one of the sport's hotbeds. And there are only 57 Division I teams, and not nearly all of them take it as seriously as the folks in College Park.


So, given the proclivities of Maryland fans to melt down like butter in a microwave, it's not surprising a little frustration boils to the surface at the end of each season.


What is slightly more interesting is the steady drip-drip-drip of disdain directed at coach Dave Cottle on fan message boards. It isn't a torrent. But it's still curious.


Not every fan is consumed enough to post their thoughts anonymously on an Internet site. But unlike the Gary-bashing or Ralph-bashing or Debbie-bashing on some boards that are usually accompanied from some quarter with a defense --- or simply a Gestapo-like removal of the critical posts and the scolding and/or permanent silencing of those behind them --- it seems no one provides any sort of cover for Cottle.


This is a guy, after all, who is 77-33 in seven seasons at Maryland. That's better than Princeton in that span (62-34) and nearly as good as Syracuse (75-30). Just two schools --- Johns Hopkins and Virginia --- have won more games in that span.


He's also reached three final fours (2003, 2005 and 2006), won a pair of ACC titles (2004 and 2005) and is behind the second-longest active streak of NCAA tournament appearances (six; only Johns Hopkins has more).


Of course, Cottle is also coaching in his 20th NCAA tournament. Between his time at Loyola and Maryland, he has yet to win a title; the 20 appearances are the most for any coach without a championship and tied for the most of any coach, period.


It's safe to say he'll have sole possession of that ignominious mark at some point this month, one appearance ahead of his buddy Tony Seaman at Towson. This year's Terps are simply not a team built to win now. Too many streaky offensive players. Too little help from the first midfield. OK faceoff play.


It's a good group, not a great one. While one postseason upset is possible, the two or three needed to win a championship will not materialize. And so in the next couple weeks, Maryland will be handed a certificate of participation and perhaps even a shiny runner-up or third-place trophy and be sent on its merry way to prepare for next year. Again.


And some folks wonder why that's ever the case. Why a program that won a dozen national titles sprinkled over six decades hasn't captured one since the days Jimmy Carter was a humble peanut farmer from Plains. Since the days Steven Spielberg was just hitting it big for the first time with Jaws. Since the days when O.J. Simpson was a slashing running back rather than a ... well, you get the idea.


It's the same sort of burden Navy must endure from its alums for being dominant in the 1960s, and Johns Hopkins must carry for being Johns Hopkins. Crusty old Navy fans still wonder why the Midshipmen can't win a national title every year. A special subset of haughty alums grumble when Hopkins does not emphatically respond to their demands of "We want more" and the Blue Jays "only" win 10-8.


But Hopkins fans have not shown the appetite to devour one of their own, especially when he's won a couple titles (as Dave Pietramala has in 2005 and 2007). And most folks supporting Navy know they won't find a much better fit than Richie Meade, the blunt, emotional, plain-spoken son of a New York City cop who both looks and lives the part of the scrappy leader of a scrappy team.


It's different at Maryland, and it's tough to figure out precisely why. Maybe some people will never forget the circus in September 2001, when Cottle was plucked from Loyola over men's assistant Dave Slafkosky and women's assistant Gary Gait to take over for the retired Dick Edell. Players swore they would never suit up for Cottle, attempted to engage in a power play when they had little leverage and wound up skipping only one practice before order was restored.


Edell was the lovable cuss who rolled up a similar winning percentage as Cottle (.692 to Cottle's .700) over 18 years. There were six final fours and three national title games in there, too, but no national championships.


I can't claim to know for sure how much frustration there was with that record. Maryland probably was the nation's best team in 1987, when it ran the table in the regular season only to lose in the semifinals to Hopkins. Of course, Hopkins probably was the nation's best team in 1995 before it encountered an emotionally charged Maryland team in the semifinals.


Either way, I can't recall such eagerness to commence a coaching search during the Edell era, in part because the Big Man was so widely respected as a person.


Cottle, though, never seemed to be fully embraced by fans. It's more like a tolerance, which is odd because his results are very, very similar to his gregarious predecessor.


Personality could be a factor. Cottle is an unabashed schemer, always looking for the slightest advantage he can put to use at some juncture. His desk might be cluttered, but his remote control is always at the ready and he perpetually squints at the grainy game film playing on a TV in his office.


The mental gears operate nonstop, and every possible edge is accounted for. No hand should ever be tipped. In that way, he would fit in nicely in the world of the guy in charge of the primary tenant of Byrd Stadium.


Indeed, Cottle would probably receive Machiavelli's seal of approval, if Machiavelli ever tried to transfer his principles for, say, a power-hungry 16th-century Italian oligarch to a coach in a stick-and-ball game invented an ocean away and played half a millennium later.


And yet despite his craftiness, not a loss goes by without the start of yet another online rant about the man's worthiness to coach a program that has spent precisely zero days under .500 during his tenure.


There are certainly instances where Cottle should shoulder some blame. The 2006 national semifinal loss to Massachusetts, for example, featured an unimaginative game plan, too much control over most offensive situations and ultimately a needless 8-5 loss to a plucky though less talented team. It was not Cottle's finest hour, even if his muted four senior stars merited some responsibility as well.


What's usually forgotten about that aggravating loss: Unbeaten Virginia would have waxed the Terps for a third time that season two days later.


There are a couple other puzzlers interspersed in the CV (hello losses to unranked Dartmouth and Bucknell in 2005 and 2006, respectively), and there are some numbers that provide a subtle insight:


* Maryland is 14-25 under Cottle against Duke, Hopkins, Navy and Virginia, though 63-8 against everybody else.


* Maryland is 24-24 against top-10 teams under Cottle, though 53-9 against everybody else.


It is tempting to dwell on the first number in both of those pairs, and ardent fans would understandably like to see an improvement on the 1-6 record against Hopkins in particular. But the second halves of those statistical couplets are also important.


They say Cottle's teams have generally taken care of business against who they were supposed to beat. And in 21st century college lacrosse, that's absolutely critical.


Only five other schools have checked in at .500 or better in every season of Cottle's tenure: Hopkins, Georgetown, Cornell, Albany and Colgate. That leaves a lot of bluebloods to endure severe (if usually short-lived) down times.


Navy scuffled a bit earlier this decade. Virginia and Duke had 2004. Princeton had 2005. Syracuse had 2007. North Carolina has had, except for a few glimmers of hope, the last dozen years.


Heck, even Johns Hopkins has endured spells in the middle of the last two seasons that had people wondering whether it would survive to see the postseason (which it did, sparked both years by mid-April victories over Maryland).


That sort of swoon hasn't happened to the Terps, who have played home games in the first round of the tournament for six straight years (only Hopkins can say the same) and were one bad decision in the final minute of the fourth quarter in the 2004 quarterfinals away from reaching four straight final fours.


That HAS to count for something. Quite a bit, actually. Because even though some fans harbor the delusion college lacrosse is the closest thing in sports to a hereditary monarchy, it simply isn't so anymore.


It isn't so because more schools take the game seriously than ever before.


It isn't so because there is more talent to diffuse throughout Division I than ever before.


It isn't so because on paper, the chance to graduate --- and the chance to quickly become independently affluent shortly thereafter --- from not just Johns Hopkins, but Duke or Princeton or Georgetown or Notre Dame looks better to many a 17-year-old and his parents than Maryland.


(Please don't cite school rankings or easy degree programs or whatever to argue this point. Perception is perception, and anyone who wants to argue any of those schools are perceived to be lesser institutions than Maryland needs to drop me a line inquiring about purchasing some oceanside property in Iowa.)


Toss in competition from somewhat comparable public schools like Virginia and North Carolina that have the benefit of more aesthetically pleasing environs, and the landscape simply does not permit Maryland to cruise to national titles with the ease that armies historically have rolled from east to west across the Great European Plain.


This brings the discussion back to Cottle, who arrived in 2001 amid fanfare with the ever-dreaded "offensive genius" label. His craftiness --- and, to be fair, probably his ego, too --- would not permit him to protest the designation.


And guess what? Under Edell, Maryland was a staunch defensive program that could entertain final four dreams when it concocted a deep and balanced offense. Under Cottle, Maryland is a staunch defensive program that can entertain final four dreams when it concocts a deep and balanced offense.


The 2008 Terps have balance but not great depth, which is why a quarterfinal appearance this year should constitute a pretty successful year. But don't tell that to the baying hounds in the Maryland fan base, whatever their number, who very well might be fruitlessly calling for Cottle's head once more around 2 p.m. on Saturday even though even a comparable replacement will be difficult to uncover.


The title drought will continue. The sniping from a handful of loud and delusional fans will continue. The winning at a roughly 70 percent clip will continue. The regular trips to the postseason will continue.


And when spring makes its annual arrival, the same old song will be reprised once more, the often inexplicable and seemingly never-ending ballad of Dave Cottle unfolding anew yet again until either a championship or a coaching change is delivered.


Photo by J.M. Eddins Jr. / The Washington Times


--- Patrick Stevens

Pressler in a class by himself

One tidbit that won't make the print edition story about former Duke lacrosse coach Mike Pressler I'm working on for tomorrow was interesting --- especially since he brought it up.


Pressler is now the coach at Bryant, a Division II school in Rhode Island. The Bulldogs earned their first postseason invitation this season and will meet D-II power Le Moyne in the semifinals on Saturday.


With the tournament berth, Pressler became the first coach to take lacrosse teams to the Divisions I, II and III tournaments. In addition to Duke and Bryant, Pressler made several Division III appearances with Ohio Wesleyan in the late 1980s.


Apparently, another reporter brought up the stat with him earlier in the week, prompting a bit of surprise.


"That was never a goal of mine," Pressler said. "We never thought about that. We had plans to be in Durham for a long time."


Certainly, there are still scars from his ouster at Duke two springs ago. There would be with anyone, and being forced to uproot a family that has lived somewhere for 16 years isn't an enviable situation.


But it's clear Pressler has retained both his dry sense of humor and his blunt way of assessing things in his new gig. And for that, the lacrosse world should be thankful.


--- Patrick Stevens

The first domino falls

The college lacrosse world has expected upheaval in its landscape for a while.


The first bit of it has officially arrived.


The Northeast Conference will begin play in lacrosse in 2011, siphoning two teams from the Colonial (Robert Morris and Sacred Heart), two teams from the Metro Atlantic (Mount St. Mary's and Wagner), a team from the Great Western Lacrosse League (Quinnipiac) and current Division II member Bryant.


All five of the current Division I members are already members of the NEC in other sports; Bryant is joining the league as it moves up to Division I. With six teams, the league will receive an automatic NCAA tournament berth --- a boon for a collection of teams that has a combined one Division I tournament appearance (2003 Mount St. Mary's).


On paper, that drops the Colonial and the GWLL both to five teams, below the number needed for an NCAA tournament berth.


But with the rumblings of a Big East lacrosse league still around, this is far from the final maneuver to be made in sport even in the short-term.


--- Patrick Stevens

Meade on the goalies

It goes without saying Tommy Phelan will be getting the nod in goal for Navy tomorrow in the NCAA quarterfinals against fifth-seeded Johns Hopkins.


Phelan took over for Matt Coughlin in the middle of the season when Coughlin suffered a hamstring injury. Navy coach put Coughlin back in for the Patriot League semifinal loss to Colgate, then turned back to Phelan for last week's first round victory at North Carolina.


"After the loss to Colgate, I felt like if we had a chance to play again, I felt like Tommy would be the guy," Meade said. "In Matt's defense, he was off for a long time and putting him in the goal against Colgate probably wasn't fair. At the time, we were looking for a spark. Retrospectively, that was probably something I should have thought a little bit longer on."


In the first meeting with Hopkins, Phelan made seven saves and yielded 10 goals before leaving with 11:37 remaining. Hopkins goalie Michael Gvozden, meanwhile, had 16 saves and surrendered only four goals in that game.


Navy needs a lot of things to be different in Round 2 (or Round 35, if you wish to dwell on streaks) if it wants to make it to the Boston 'burbs next weekend.


One of them is at least getting the goalie play to be a push tomorrow afternoon.


--- Patrick Stevens

Quarterfinal ticket update

ANNAPOLIS --- Just talked to some Navy officials during the open practices heading into tomorrow's NCAA lacrosse quarterfinals.


Already, there are 7,400 tickets accounted for. Last year, Navy had a walk-up of 8,000 fans for the quarters last year, and Navy, Johns Hopkins and Maryland weren't part of that doubleheader.


It isn't a stretch, then, to think Navy could lure an extra 10,000-12,000 or so fans tomorrow. And if that happens, the old quarterfinal record of 12,289 at Hofstra in 1999 will obliterated.


--- Patrick Stevens

Sand from Iwo Jima

Take a peek at Navy coach Richie Meade's office, and you'll see three pictures of things that have absolutely nothing to do with lacrosse.


Meade is a military history buff, and has a reason for displaying all three.


* The Angle at Gettysburg: "If you believe in a cause, you can do anything."


* Statue of the Soldiers' Monument at West Point: "It says 'The lives and destinies of valiant Americans are going to be entrusted to your skill and leadership.' That's really what we do. At the end of the day, when they graduate, it's what they're going to have to do."


* Picture of the Marines planting the flag at Iwo Jima: "That reminds me young Americans can do anything if you ask them to. If you push them to."


The Iwo Jima display might be the most important of the bunch. Meade can still remember visiting the Iwo Jima memorial as a kid. In every Power Point presentation he does for the team, he makes sure to include the famous image from World War II at some juncture.


So imagine his surprise --- and emotion --- upon receiving a package recently from former Navy midfielder Steve Looney. Inside was three large water bottles filled with sand from the beach at Iwo Jima --- replacing the Iwo Jima sand Meade gradually gave away more than a decade ago.


Meade said Looney needed to go about four hours out of his way to make the sidetrip, and was only on the island for roughly a half-hour. And as a result, Meade has a keepsake he could find many uses for.


"On occasion, I have sprinkled it on the field before the game," Meade said. "I probably haven't done that in 10 years, but I have a lot of it now."


Not to mention a full head of steam to talk about a meaningful moment of history. Some other snippets from our conversation after Navy's walkthrough in Annapolis yesterday:


* "Those guys did the hard part. If you know anything about what happened there --- not the historical part of it or that it happened in World War II. But if you read about it, 10 Marines fighting against the Japanese and attacking a pillbox. They weren't fighting for the United States of America. They were fighting for the guy next to them and trying to survive. That's a pretty powerful message for these guys, so I appreciate Steven doing that and sending it to me."


* "I'm 54 years old, and I don't get it. I don't know how they did it. Now they have movies and all this other stuff, but I'm talking about 20 years ago I started reading about this stuff. When you try to comprehend what they did, it's incomprehensible. The third day of the Battle of Iwo Jima, the 28th regiment of the Fifth Division had surrounded Mount Suribachi and they were going to assault Mount Suribachi. That morning there were supposed to be tanks that led the assault, and the tanks got caught on the beach. At 8:15 in the morning, they waited five more minutes, the tanks didn't show up and they went anyway. Now they just ran forward against the most heavily defended position in the history of warfare, just 19 year olds against that. So when they're complaining about how their foot hurts, it's like 'Shut up.' That's why I do it. If they can do that, these guys can run in the morning at 6:15."


* "The longer we get away from it, we forget about what they really mean," Meade said as he pointed to the battles and campaigns listed on the stadium facade. "You think about all the lives that were invested, it's a pretty inspiring thing to walk out here. If anybody should understand that, we should."


--- Patrick Stevens

Lighting it up

A little Maryland lacrosse story to hold everyone over until the opening faceoff:


Earlier this month before the regular season finale, someone --- and by someone, I mean goalie Jason Carter --- brought a radar gun to Maryland's practice.


Madness predictably ensued, in the form of a pre-practice competition straight out of an all-star weekend.


The winner? Aussie midfielder Adam Sear, who touched 106 miles per hour.


"I can't explain it," Sear said. "I was on a gun when i was 12 and that's about it. That's the first time I've been on a radar gun for a while. I don't know how credible the radar gun is."


For the sake of full disclosure, this was not in any way planned by coach Dave Cottle.


"It was before practice," Cottle dryly clarified. "It wasn't during practice."


While midfielders like Sear and Dan Groot predictably did well, it didn't necessarily go so well for everyone. Midfielder Will Dalton said a handful of long poles missed the cage altogether in their attempts to light up the gun.


Others had shots that went spectacularly awry.


"Mike Griswold and Zach Hinton, a couple of the D guys tried to pull the Big One and almost hit the wall and the windows [of the team house] a couple times."


Not everyone with a pole struggled. Sophomore Brian Farrell --- arguably the nation's biggest offense threat among long stick midfielder --- zipped a shot at 103 mph.


"I've always seen Farrell as having the hardest shot on the team," Sear said. "During our drills, he'll line up from 15 yards and makes the goal rock like this."


At that, Sear waved his hand back and forth. Not quickly, but the Terrapins' king of the radar gun didn't need to.


--- Patrick Stevens

Some tweaks for Maryland

ANNAPOLIS --- Maryland coach Dave Cottle has made a few tweaks to his midfield lines for today's quarterfinal.


Jeff Reynolds and Jeremy Sieverts have been bumped up to the first midfield along with Dan Groot, while Max Ritz and Drew Evans will run with the second line alongside Tony Mendes.


The net effect of this is that Virginia will have to short at least one of Reynolds, Groot and attackman Travis Reed. The difference in the teams' first two meetings was Reed, who torched the Cavaliers while defended by a short stick as the Terps won in March and was held in check when poled in the ACC semifinals last month.


--- Patrick Stevens

The power of one

I'll have some quick lookaheads to the lacrosse semifinals later today (and looking ahead, it appears the Duke juggernaut will get its postseason rematch with Johns Hopkins). Tomorrow, look for some season rewinds of a few teams now on the sideline.


But the question I asked myself this morning is just how rare is it for a team to win its first two NCAA tournament games by a point, as Virginia has with victories over UMBC (10-9) and Maryland (8-7)? And just how do those teams do going forward?


Before this year, there were seven such teams. Two of them even won national titles, both this decade. So while the second-seeded Cavaliers have received some scares, it's not necessarily something to be overly worried about.


Here's a look at how those seven previous teams fared after their first two games:


1980 Virginia: Lost to Johns Hopkins 9-8 in 2OT in the final


1988 Virginia: Lost to Cornell 17-6 in the semifinals


1991 Towson (State): Beat Maryland 15-11 in the semifinals; lost to North Carolina 18-13 in the final


2001 Princeton: Beat Syracuse 10-9 on OT in the final


2002 Syracuse: Beat Princeton 13-12 in the final


2002 Princeton: Lost to Syracuse 13-12 in the final


2006 Massachusetts: Beat Maryland 8-5 in the semifinals; lost to Virginia 15-7 in the final


--- Patrick Stevens

Semifinal lookahead

Since the middle of March, the general consensus has been that Duke, Syracuse and Virginia were probably the nation's top three teams, in some order or another.


And all along, even someone who disliked Johns Hopkins had to concede the Blue Jays were among the nation's four most talented teams, even if they lost five in a row early in the season.


So it's fitting those teams are the final four, and on their way to Foxboro(Ugh) next weekend.


A glance at Saturday's two semifinals and the history behind them:


No. 1 Duke vs. No. 5 Johns Hopkins


* Hopkins leads series 11-4


* Duke won last meeting 17-6 on April 5 in Durham, N.C.


* Hopkins has won two of three NCAA tournament meetings, including the 2005 and 2007 national title games


No. 2 Virginia vs. No. 3 Syracuse


* Virginia leads series 12-11


* Virginia won last meeting 14-13 in overtime on March 1 in Baltimore


* Virginia leads the teams’ postseason series 4-3. The Cavaliers won three semifinals (1986, 1994 and 2006) and one title game (1999). The Orange won semifinals in 1995 and 2002 and a quarterfinal in 1998.


--- Patrick Stevens

Virginia-Syracuse at noon, Duke-Hopkins at 2:30

Those are Saturday's game times, per ESPN.com.


--- Patrick Stevens

The best of Virginia-Syracuse

One of the best things about this weekend's NCAA semifinals is an extra meeting this season between Syracuse and Virginia.


The Orange and Cavaliers can be relied upon to produce a visually appealing, fan-friendly game --- the sort the sport could use on its biggest stage.


The schools have met 23 times --- 20 of them since 1994. Here's one highly debatable top five of those games.


1. 1997: Syracuse 22, Virginia 21. The score says absolutely everything. It was just an awesome rock-'em-sock-'em game at the Dome. Casey Powell had seven goals and six assists for Syracuse.


2. 1994: Virginia 15, Syracuse 14 (OT). The Cavaliers completed their march to their first national final under Dom Starsia by knocking out the defending national champions at Byrd Stadium.


3. 2002: Syracuse 12, Virginia 11 (2OT). Michael Springer scored four goals up at Rutgers to send Syracuse back to the national title game. The bigger story in this one? Virginia sophomore Tillman Johnson offered a preview of his future final four theatrics with 18 saves, while Syracuse's Jay Pfeifer stopped 19 shots.


4. 1999: Virginia 12, Syracuse 10. The Cavaliers punched through for their first national title since 1972, nearly blowing a 9-3 lead before outlasting the Orange in College Park.


5. 2008: Virginia 14, Syracuse 13 (OT). It might be the best game of the season, and was played back on March 1 at M&T Bank Stadium. There were nine ties and five lead changes, and a pair of freshmen goalies received a baptism by fire. Brian Carroll scored the game-winner for Virginia in OT, but Syracuse served early notice its losing 2007 season was well in the past.


So, what's missing?


--- Patrick Stevens

Mixing charity and the final four

In case you can't make it to Foxboro(ugh) and would like to both catch Saturday's lacrosse semifinals in a public setting and help out a good cause in the process, here's a possibility just sent my way by Jon Halperin.


The Rhino Bar on M Street in Northwest will play host to a viewing party on its 110-inch HD projection TVs, with a $10 cover charge --- 80 percent of which will go to breast cancer research, and 20 percent of which will go to the nonprofit Tewaaraton Award Foundation.


You can contact Halperin for more information.


--- Patrick Stevens

Is parity really the name of the game?

On paper, the fine folks up in Boston couldn't have asked for a better group of teams to be headed to their fair metropolis than the four that will arrive tomorrow.


Duke, with its notoriety and emergence as a household name in lacrosse in the last two years.


Johns Hopkins, with its rich tradition going back 125 years.


Virginia, with its three titles since 1999 and an up-and-down style of play.


Syracuse, which has hauled home nearly two fistfuls of title rings in the last quarter-century.


It isn't a stunning final four in the slightest. Hopkins, Duke and Virginia were a consensus top three in the preseason. Syracuse, despite its off year in 2007, was such a semifinal regular for so long that its still more jarring not to see the Orange on the big stage than to have them roll onto the field in late May.


It wasn't long ago that you could point to a Core Four --- Hopkins, Virginia, Syracuse and Princeton --- as the teams that reliably could be counted on to reach the semifinals. The last few years have led to a rethinking of that formula, and it really has become more of a Big Six, with Duke and Maryland joining the aforementioned group even if they don't yet have the titles to show for their efforts.


Go back to 1994 and it's clear those six schools are and continue to be the elite of the sport. The only school that might not fit is Princeton, which has gone to only one final four in the last six years but still has a crafty coach who plies his trade as well as anyone.


(It is no random choice to select 1994. That was the year Virginia upset North Carolina in the quarterfinals in what was to become a watershed moment for both programs. The Cavaliers have won three NCAA tournaments since then. The once redoubtable Tar Heels have won two NCAA tournament games since then.)


A little elementary math shows there are 60 semifinal slots available over the last 15 years, and the Big Six account for 51 of them:


Syracuse: 13 (5 titles)
Johns Hopkins: 10 (2 titles)
Virginia: 10 (3 titles)
Princeton: 8 (5 titles)
Maryland: 6
Duke: 4


The category of "Everybody else" makes up the final nine spots, with Brown, Cornell, Delaware, Georgetown, Loyola, Massachusetts, Navy, Notre Dame and Towson each making one final four appearance in that span.


That hodgepodge of erstwhile powers, big-time dreamers and perennial quarterfinalists has no championships between them since 1977. And thanks to yet another postseason during which the pretenders have been weeded out in the first two weekends, that streak will remain intact.


Sure, parity has arrived. It just hasn't made it to Memorial Day.


--- Patrick Stevens

Pressure-free at the Hop

The lacrosse world has not entirely turned upside down. But there is something very, very odd about this week.


Johns Hopkins is an underdog. And a decided one at that heading into its semifinal meeting with vaunted Duke on Saturday.


Players up at Homewood were loose on Tuesday, excited about a new shipment of Nike cleats that arrived that day. While care-free wouldn't be the right way to describe them, there was a definite sense of calm complemented with giddiness.


Even coach Dave Pietramala was somewhat relaxed --- a relative term for a guy whose picture should be in the thesaurus next to the word "intense." OK, so he wouldn't seem relaxed to the average person. But he has said throughout the week that the external pressure is gone now that the Blue Jays are back in the final four.


Which got me thinking: When was the last time the Hop was in such a pressure-free spot in the final four?


It wasn't last year, when unseeded Delaware awaited in the semifinals.


It wasn't in 2005, when it was understood that if any team would break an 18-year title drought, it would be the undefeated group led by Kyle Harrison.


It wasn't in 2002, 2003 or 2004, when the Blue Jays were the top seed and still tumbled.


As Hopkins progressed through its "good-but-not-good-enough" years --- otherwise known as the Tony Seaman and John Haus years --- it lost to a lower seed in 1991 (quarterfinals), 1995 (semifinals), 1997 (quarterfinals), 1998 (quarterfinals) and 1999 (semifinals). Petro's first season ended with the same sort of loss in the 2001 quarterfinals.


Those kinds of setbacks tend to accrue pressure and expectations for the future, regardless of the actual circumstance. That means in a year like 2000, when Hopkins was a No. 4 seed playing top seed and eventual national champ Syracuse, there was plenty of pressure. (That season, there were also the Haus-to-North Carolina rumors circulating about that ultimately came to fruition).


So back to the original question. The best guess here is the last time Hopkins was playing with house money (a term that has not been copyrighted by 2008 Duke, by the way) was in 1987, when unbeaten and top-seeded Maryland awaited in the semifinals.


The Blue Jays pulled the huge upset, then knocked off Cornell two days later for a title. Pietramala was a star defenseman for that 1987 team, and it wouldn't be a surprise if he went to that well once or twice this week for some perspective on what his team is facing.


After all, it's not like his guys are accustomed to being an underdog.


--- Patrick Stevens

Lacrosse & Vegas: From the cutting room floor

There was a lot of stuff to pack into today's print edition story about how lacrosse has arrived in Las Vegas.


True, lines for less than a dozen games each weekend does not make lacrosse anywhere near the presence of many other sports at the Wynn Las Vegas. But it's still there, which is an interesting development for the sport.


I asked Johns Hopkins coach Dave Pietramala about it when I was up at Homewood on Tuesday, and he summed things up quite well. Like a lot of people, Petro had a realistic acceptance that the growth of the game would spawn a lot of things.


"It's in football, it's in basketball, it's in baseball, it's in hockey, boxing, wrestling,” Pietramala said. "It's everywhere. I don't think anything of it. If people are paying attention and people care about, then eventually they're going to bet on it."


And now they are in lacrosse.


--- Patrick Stevens

Ticket update from Foxborough

Talked with NCAA lacrosse committee chairman Tim Pavlechko, who said more than 40,000 tickets have been sold for this weekend's final four in the Boston area.


How many actually show --- thanks to the wonder of rising gas prices and other practical concerns --- is another matter.


But there's no question Syracuse and its caravan of fans traveling east will provide something of a bump when the ticket booths open tomorrow.


Foxborough might not set the records Philadelphia and Baltimore did, but it's safe to count on a large crowd --- which is exactly what the NCAA hoped for when it moved the final four into New England for the first time.


--- Patrick Stevens

Virginia-Syracuse: The pick

FOXBOROUGH, Mass. --- Less than three hours until game time --- still far enough out for Division III power Salisbury to be out on Gillette Stadium field for a walkthrough.


Some folks think there could be two routs, but it would be no shock if a pair of fine games are delivered.


Make no mistake: If there are a pair of blowouts, it would be stunning to have either Virginia or Johns Hopkins in the final.


Faceoffs will be vital for Virginia, at least if Syracuse's Danny Brennan dominates Garett Ince. The Orange's preferred style --- get the ball, shoot, and then (a) score and go back to the faceoff or (b) go plays some defense --- nullifies the value of the faceoff. Syracuse is content to go up-and-down, and Virginia can do that if need be.


While much is made of how much better Syracuse's defense is compared to last year --- and there's no question it is, given how porous the Orange were in '07. But after a challenging stretch in early March that featured overtime games against Virginia (loss), Georgetown (win) and Hopkins (win), Syracuse has not exactly played the most dominant schedule.


The Orange rolled Binghamton, Hobart, Loyola, Princeton, Cornell, Rutgers, Albany and Massachusetts before losing to Colgate. In the tournament, they predictably drilled Canisius before edging Notre Dame.


The final eight opponents in that 10-game winning streak went a lukewarm 56-54 this year. It's fair to wonder just how good Syracuse's defense would have fared had some of those teams actually had up years offensively.


The reality is it's not as hard to question Syracuse's offense, which is loaded and gets the streaky Bud Petit today. But the Syracuse defense vs. the Virginia offense will decide the day; here's thinking Virginia 13-12 in a game that could easily go either way.

Lesson learned

FOXBOROUGH, Mass. --- Sometimes you ask questions expecting a specific sort of answer.


Sometimes you ask questions because you flat-out don't know the answer and are either really curious or just don't want to be ignorant.


And sometimes you ask questions because you want to find out if a person subscribes to the critique of his or her work.


It was with that in mind that it seemed fair yesterday to offer a mildly leading question to Duke coach John Danowski: How much did you pick up from your first final four a year ago?


"I think a bunch," Danowski said. "Last year we tried to be loose and relaxed and i think we were. Cornell was a great comeback.The weather, the heat was an issue and our guys were exhausted at the end of Saturday so we didn't practice on Sunday and that was probably a little bit of a mistake. I think we'll do something Sunday if we're fortunate enough to get there this year. We would do that."


Almost as soon as it became known last year that Duke didn't even bother to pick up its sticks the day between the semifinals and the title game, the whispers started that it might not have been a slick move. The fact that the Blue Devils were facing a team led by Dave Pietramala, who at the very least will never allow himself to be outprepared, turned the whispers into murmurs.


So it would appear Danowski acknowledges his choice probably wasn't the wisest, although he still merited plenty of credit for managing the 2007 Duke circus as well as he did.


If Danowski and his team can get that elusive postseason victory over Hopkins today, he'll be able to put that experience to good use tomorrow.


--- Patrick Stevens

Hopkins-Duke: The pick

FOXBOROUGH, Mass. --- The game everyone thinks is going to be blowout will actually be close.


Real close.


There. Finally said it publicly. Against all conventional wisdom.


Hopkins is going to give Duke a run. And that's not an opinion based on history, but rather what the Blue Jays have the potential to do today.


The Hop can win faceoffs. It can shorten the game with absurdly long possessions. It can make Duke impatient. And it has both Paul Rabil and Stephen Peyser, who are dangerous quantities in the midfield.


There's three things Hopkins absolutely cannot afford to do:


* Not collect better than 55 percent (and preferably 60 percent) of the faceoffs.


* Commit a boatload of turnovers.


* Not get a standout game from goalie Michael Gvozden.


Gvozden and Peyser are the keys to the game. If Gvozden can hold up to the Duke blitz, the Blue Jays will be able to stay close. And if that can happen, things would be interesting.


It's still safe to say Duke will win --- the call is 12-10 --- but don't be surprised if Hopkins pulls the upset.


--- Patrick Stevens

Air Hopkins

FOXBOROUGH, Mass. --- I asked Hopkins offensive coordinator Bobby Benson yesterday if his flight to Boston went better than his last encounter with an airplane.


He laughed a bit nervously, and who can blame him? After all, he and coach Dave Pietramala had a midair adventure on the six-seat plane they took back from Ithaca after scouting Duke in last weekend's quarterfinals.


"It was interesting to say the least," Pietramala said.


Interesting probably doesn't cover the front door to the plane flying open at 3,000 feet, with Petro's jacket quickly slipping out. He then asked Benson if he should get up and try to close the door; Benson wisely urged him to remained buckled up.


Upon landing, the Hopkins coaches opted to rent a car and drive back to Baltimore.


"We made it. We made it. We made it," Pietramala said. "it wasn't our time. Thank God Benson went to church that morning. At least somebody did."


As a postscript to this tale, Hopkins SID Ernie Larossa said this morning someone must have tipped off one of the attendants on the Blue Jays' charter to Boston about the harrowing experience. Pietramala was asked multiple times on the way if he was all right.


He'll be great if Hopkins can spring an upset today. But given what happened on Sunday, he'll probably be OK for a while.


--- Patrick Stevens

Brian Carroll: Scholar?!

FOXBOROUGH, Mass. --- The NCAA likes to promote the "welfare of the student-athlete" and other such platitudes.


It might have dropped the ball a little bit when developing slides of players in the final four to display during timeouts and after goals.


Virginia sophomore Brian Carroll's mug was displayed a few minutes ago at Gillette Stadium. His listed major: "??????????"


(This is not meant to disparage Carroll, who is probably well within his right as a sophomore not to have a declared major.)


The Virginia media guide doesn't list a major for Carroll. But chances are, a cadre of question marks are not an approved area of study at Thomas Jefferson's university.


--- Patrick Stevens

The surprise final

FOXBOROUGH, Mass. --- Quick update before heading over to the stadium for the day.


Tomorrow's final is between third-seeded Syracuse and fifth-seeded Johns Hopkins.


It is not often one of the top two seeds fails to advance to the title game. In fact, this is only the sixth time in 38 tournaments it has happened.


In 1975, No. 3 Maryland topped No. 4 Navy 20-13 in the final.


In 1986, No. 5 North Carolina upended No. 3 Virginia 10-9 in overtime in the title game.


In 1994, No. 3 Princeton edged No. 5 Virginia 9-8 in overtime to deny the Cavaliers their first title under Dom Starsia.


In 1995, No. 3 Syracuse trumped No. 4 Maryland 13-9 two days after those teams took out the top two seeds.


In 1999, No. 3 Virginia knocked off No. 8 Syracuse 12-10 to finally get Starsia's first title.


And that's it.


Well except for this tidbit: That 1986 North Carolina team was the only No. 5 seed (or below) to ever win a championship. The only No. 4 seeds to collect a title were 1987 Hopkins and 2004 Syracuse.


--- Patrick Stevens

Title game lookahead

A few quick notes on the series between two teams that have hauled away 18 of the 37 Division I national championships:


No. 3 Syracuse vs. No. 5 Johns Hopkins


* Johns Hopkins leads series 26-18-1.


* Syracuse won last meeting 14-13 in overtime on March 15 at Homewood Field.


* Syracuse leads the series in the NCAA tournament 7-4, including a 13-12 victory in the 2006 quarterfinals at Stony Brook.


* The teams have split four title games, with Syracuse winning in 1983 and 1989 and Hopkins winning in 1984 and 1985.


* Syracuse also won semifinals in 1992, 2000 and 2004 and a quarterfinal in 1991.


* Hopkins also won semifinals in 1980 and 1993.


--- Patrick Stevens

Donut run

FOXBOROUGH, Mass. --- It's been a while since I spent so much time in New England --- more than 20 years.


The most striking thing: The omnipresence of Dunkin' Donuts.


To wit: My hotel is 11 miles from Gillette Stadium. On the way in, I passed at least seven Dunkin' Donuts stores.


Starbucks, which is on pace to occupy every retail space by the year 2043, was spotted only twice.


All that means is there's a lot of people up here getting up early to make the donuts.


--- Patrick Stevens

The All-Americans

Got the release late last night of the full All-America list, which is typically filled with a few head-scratching calls.


I'll follow up this up later with a little analysis, but feel free to offer some arguments for guys who were either overrated or snubbed in this process.


Here's the full list (courtesy of top-notch Navy SID Stacie Michaud; the USILA site doesn't even have them up yet), with the players from local teams in bold:


First Team


Attack - Matt Danowski (Duke), Zack Greer (Duke), Michael Leveille (Syracuse)


Midfield - Steven Brooks (Syracuse), Paul Rabil (Johns Hopkins), Max Seibald (Cornell), Nick O'Hara (Duke)


Defense - Jerry Lambe (Georgetown), Dan Cocoziello (Princeton), Ken Clausen (Virginia)


Goalkeeper - Joey Kemp (Notre Dame)


Second Team


Attack - Kevin Buchanan (Ohio State), Dan Glading (Virginia), Ben Rubeor (Virginia)


Midfield -Terry Kimener (UMBC), Jon Glynn (Cornell), Stephen Peyser (Johns Hopkins), Ned Crotty (Duke)


Defense - Joe Cinosky (Maryland), Jordan DiNola (Navy), Tony McDevitt (Duke)


Goalkeeper - Jordan Burke (Brown)


Third Team


Attack - Brandon Corp (Colgate), Kevin Huntley (Johns Hopkins), Max Quinzani (Duke)


Midfield - Matt Lalli (Colgate), Brad Ross (Duke), Ben Hunt (North Carolina), Matt Abbott (Syracuse), Brian Carroll (Virginia)


Defense - Matt Bocklet (Johns Hopkins), Michael Evans (Johns Hopkins), Sean Dougherty (Notre Dame)


Goalkeeper - Dan Loftus (Duke), Adam Fullerton (Army)


Honorable Mention


Attack - Joel Dalgarno (Ohio State), Nick Mirabito (Navy), Jordan McBride (Stony Brook), Ryan Smith (UMBC), Ryan Hurley (Cornell), Brendan Cannon (Georgetown), Ari Sussman (Dartmouth), Shane Koppens (Loyola), Garrett Billings (Virginia), Ryan Hoff (Notre Dame), Curtis Dickson (Delaware), Jamie Lincoln (Denver), Kenny Nims (Syracuse), Daryl Veltman (Hobart), Austin Winter (Bucknell)


Midfield - Justin Pennington (Rutgers), Mark Kovler (Princeton), Peter Lamade (Virginia), Mike Timms (Virginia), Mike Podgajny (Notre Dame), Dan Hardy (Syracuse), Dan Brennan (Syracuse), Adam Jones (Canisius), Jordan Levine (Albany), Peet Poillon (Ohio State), Jeff Reynolds (Maryland), Anthony Muscarella (Hofstra), Barney Ehrmann (Georgetown), Nick Tintle (North Carolina)


Defense - Bobby Atwell (UMBC), Matt Moyer (Cornell), Tim Kaiser (North Carolina), Sidney Smith (Syracuse), Kyle Guadagnolo (Syracuse), Ben Johnston (Providence), Parker McKee (Duke), Brian Farrell (Maryland)


Goalkeeper - Stefan Schroder (Ohio State), Andrew Adams (Penn State), Jeremy Blevins (UMBC), Bruce Bickford (Drexel), Grant Zimmerman (North Carolina), Alex Hewit (Princeton)


--- Patrick Stevens

Three keys for Syracuse

FOXBOROUGH, Mass. --- Three things third-seeded Syracuse (15-2) would be wise to do in tomorrow's national final against Johns Hopkins:


* Create offense from everywhere. Johns Hopkins has demonstrated it can take a top player or two out of the flow of an offense. The Blue Jays were downright giddy to hold Matt Danowski and Zack Greer to a combined three goals and four assists, as well they should be. But Syracuse possesses far more options in the midfield than Duke --- Dan Hardy, Steven Brooks, Brendan Loftus, Matt Abbott, Pat Perritt. Those guys need to be in the mix, and the more they're heard from, the better off the 'Cuse will be.


* Win faceoffs cleanly. The Orange are accustomed to winning draws at a good clip, and Danny Brennan won nearly every faceoff against Virginia on which he wasn't called for a procedure violation. Stephen Peyser will be a much more difficult matchup, and the rotation of guys on the wings Hopkins can toss up are just as imposing. Sheer possessions will be more meaningful against a Hopkins team content to play a "first-to-10 goals, wins" style of play.


* Be wary of the attack. First of all, one of the most impressive performances from Saturday came from Syracuse defenseman Sid Smith, who did a superb job on Virginia's Ben Rubeor. The quiet day from the Cavaliers' star was far more the product of Smith's play than a bad day. However, the Hopkins attack has quietly improved throughout the season. Kevin Huntley is the reliable anchor, but Steven Boyle and Michael Doneger must be watched; those two could be the difference-makers for the Hop.


--- Patrick Stevens

Three keys for Hopkins

FOXBOROUGH, Mass. --- Three things fifth-seeded Johns Hopkins (11-5) would be wise to do in this afternoon's title game.


* Keep up the goalie play. Michael Gvozden unleashed a remarkable Jesse Schwartzman imitation over the last month, and it turns out all the teeth-gnashing of the first half of the season was misplaced. The sophomore was remarkable against Duke on Saturday, and very well might need an encore against Syracuse. He seems up to the task with the help of defensemen Michael Evans, Matt Bocklet and Eric Zerrlaut.


* Tame the tempo. Sometimes conventional wisdom is right. Hopkins is built to win games 10-9 and 9-8. Syracuse, for all the talk of its improved defense, is still built to win shootouts. When Duke struggled to ignite its offense in the first quarter on Saturday, it was clear Hopkins had already secured a priceless in-game victory. Drawing things out again would exponentially improve the Blue Jays' title chances.


* Beware of Brooks. Hopkins doesn't need to be reminded of Syracuse midfielder Steven Brooks, who fired in the overtime game-winner in the teams' meeting earlier this season at Homewood. Mike Leveille will probably get his --- he had five goals despite a solid effort from Virginia's Ken Clausen on Saturday --- even with a great matchup, likely against Evans. Brooks, though, is a different sort of headache. If he is neutralized from outside, the Orange will lose a valuable option.

Petro Looks Back At '89

Today's Syracuse-Hopkins final is the first title game between the teams since 1989, when the Orange rallied for a 13-12 victory.


Current Syracuse coach John Desko was an assistant coach back then. Hopkins coach Dave Pietramala was a star defenseman, and ESPN analyst and omnipresent voice of lacrosse Quint Kessenich was the Blue Jays' goalie.


Kessenich couldn't have drawn a much tougher assignment --- both Gary and Paul Gait, plus Tom Marechek --- and he came up with 17 saves.


Still, there's always a chance to tweak a former teammate, which the Washington Post's Christian Swezey saw an opening for when we were talking to Petro about the '89 game after yesterday's press conference.


"If you had a better goalie, you would have won," Swezey prodded.


"I can't say that," Petro said before breaking into a big smile. "I'd like to say that. I can't."


Maybe that can just be considered collateral for a comment or two Kessenich is sure to make that will irritate Hopkins fans this afternoon.


--- Patrick Stevens

Hopkins-Syracuse: The pick

FOXBOROUGH, Mass. --- Let's keep this short and sweet.


A low-scoring affair favors Johns Hopkins.


A shootout portends a fine day for Syracuse.


Trouble for Syracuse is, the Hop has shown no inclination to play a shaky defensive game any time in the last seven weeks.


It was then the Blue Jays simplified their defense, clogging up the middle and pushing opponents off to the wings. It's made it easier for goalie Michael Gvozden to pick up the trajectory of shots, and a defense that does not have a bunch of groundball specialists isn't exposing its greatest weakness very often.


Syracuse has the goods to win its 10th national title. But the thought here is at around 3:15 p.m., the words "dynasty" and "Johns Hopkins" will be used in tandem once more. The Blue Jays escape with a 10-9 victory and celebrate their third championship in four years.


--- Patrick Stevens

Final top 20

Got back from Foxboro(Ugh) last night after seeing an entertaining --- though not, in the final analysis, close --- title game. Congrats to Syracuse for winning the title everyone assumed would be going to Duke.


The Orange have a passel of great stories --- from rallying back from last year's 5-8 season to the myriad personal tragedies of those in the program to the dire need for the Syracuse athletic department to receive some good news.


It is a school, after all, that has a Hall of Fame basketball coach producing NIT berths and a football coach whose tenure in the Dome is, to date, remarkably bad. Bad enough he might be the best bet of any of the 120 major college coaches to not occupy his current station in another seven months.


Back to lacrosse. There are still some details to go over in the next week or so, and rankings are a start.


This will be one of two top 20s to be posted this week.


This is the final 2008 lacrosse top 20, at least from one voter. The next one will be the 2009 lookahead. After all, it's never too soon to do that --- and it would appear the first big change of the offseason will be the arrival of a new sheriff in Chapel Hill, since Inside Lacrosse reports John Haus has been ousted.

1. Syracuse (16-2)
2. Duke (18-2)
3. Johns Hopkins (11-6)
4. Virginia (14-4)
5. Maryland (10-6)
6. Notre Dame (14-3)
7. UMBC (12-4)
8. Ohio State (11-6)
9. Navy (10-6)
10. Colgate (11-6)
11. Cornell (11-4)
12. Georgetown (9-4)
13. North Carolina (8-6)
14. Hofstra (10-6)
15. Brown (11-3)
16. Drexel (13-4)
17. Denver (10-7)
18. Loyola (7-7)
19. Army (9-6)
20. Princeton (7-6)


--- Patrick Stevens

Haus' departure official

The first major, non-scandal ridden opening among the elite in college lacrosse in quite some time has been made official.


John Haus is out after eight seasons at North Carolina.


The case can be made that this is the biggest prize available since the Maryland job opened in September 2001 with the retirement of Dick Edell and the Terrapins' ensuing hire of Dave Cottle from Loyola. The Greyhounds then plucked Bill Dirrigl from Rutgers, and that didn't work out too well.


The notable jobs open in recent years were Duke (after the rape accusations in 2006), Hofstra (because John Danowski left for Duke) and Army (after Jack Emmer retired).


Carolina could be better than all of them. There is tradition. There are facilities. There is Chapel Hill, which is alluring for young and old alike.


It's amazing the Tar Heels haven't won an ACC game since 2004, an ACC tournament game since 1996 and an NCAA quarterfinal since 1993.


Maybe someone can change the direction of the program. Haus, despite back--to-back tournament appearances, wasn't the one to do it.

CHAPEL HILL --- John Haus will not return for his ninth season as head coach of the University of North Carolina men's lacrosse team.


"John and I have had several discussions in the days since the season ended and the result of those talks is that we agree a change is in the best interest of reaching the goals we all have for Carolina Lacrosse," says Director of Athletics Dick Baddour. "John has spent the past eight years giving everything he had to our program. I have a great deal of respect for him as we arrive at this decision. John and his family love Chapel Hill and the University and it is regrettable a change had to happen. We are thankful to him for all he has given to his alma mater."


"I am disappointed to no longer be coaching at Carolina," says Haus. "We have built a solid foundation for future success, but this is the best way for the program to take that next step and I wish my successor the best in doing that. My family and I have really enjoyed the eight years we have spent in Chapel Hill. It was a great honor to coach here. I wish the young men who played for me nothing but the best."


Haus competes his tenure as Carolina's head coach with an overall record of 58-52. The Tar Heels went 8-6 and reached the first round of the 2008 NCAA Tournament.


--- Patrick Stevens

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