Rather than extensively rehashing this stuff in the print edition, this seems like a good venue for the NCAA lacrosse tournament selection criteria:
* 50 percent results-related, which from what I am told has a pretty decent approximation on Laxpower.com. The total points a team earns is divided by its games played.
* 30 percent RPI, which can be found (through last weekend's games) at the NCAA's site.
* 20 percent strength of schedule based on a team's top 10 opponents, according to the RPI. It is NOT the strength of schedule listed in the link above.
Since nearly anyone can click the links, I'll let the first two stand on their own and revisit them come Sunday. But the strength of schedule component is interesting, since the NCAA has seen fit not to divulge that exact data.
Only the top 10 games are in play, and because some programs schedule differently than others, deleting the bottom feeders has an uneven impact from team to team. There are probably two at-large berths in play for the tournament (the four ACC teams, the two powerful independents and Cornell are likely in the field).
So here are the remaining at-large contenders, their overall SOS and the teams (with respective RPIs for opponents in the 57-team Division I) that will be dropped from the equation when the committee crunches the numbers. The "next to go" is included since most of these teams still have a game or two to play.
Ohio State (No. 8): No. 39 Air Force, No. 42 Bellarmine, No. 53 Robert Morris
NEXT TO GO: No. 38 Penn State, No. 35 Villanova
Princeton (No. 10): No. 36 Canisius, No. 45 Yale
NEXT TO GO: No. 33 Dartmouth
Army (No. 12): No. 39 Air Force, No. 47 Lafayette, No. 50 Holy Cross, No. 51 VMI
NEXT TO GO: No. 30 Lehigh
Denver (No. 13): No. 29 Harvard, No. 34 Quinnipiac, No. 39 Air Force, No. 42 Bellarmine, No. 56 Presbyterian
NEXT TO GO: No. 27 Stony Brook, No. 26 Penn
Notre Dame (No. 16): No. 38 Penn State, No. 39 Air Force, No. 42 Bellarmine
NEXT TO GO: No. 35 Villanova, No. 34 Quinnipiac
Navy (No. 17): No. 47 Lafayette, No. 50 Holy Cross, No. 51 VMI, No. 52 Mount St. Mary's
NEXT TO GO (hypothetically, since Navy is done the regular season): No. 30 Lehigh
Georgetown (No. 19): No. 46 St. John's, No. 52 Mount St. Mary's
NEXT TO GO: No. 43 Fairfield
Two types of teams get helped by these calculations in this category. One, a team that has the luxury of counting only opponents in the top half of Division I --- i.e. Denver. Two, a team that gets to jettison some bottom-of-the-barrel teams at the bottom of its schedule --- i.e. Army, Georgetown and Navy.
The teams that are hurt by this are the ones still peeling away opponents in the mid-30s, like Notre Dame and Ohio State. In addition, Notre Dame has the least to gain since it has the "best" worst opponent of any team likely to receive serious bubble consideration.
So while the data isn't available, you can bet Army and Navy improve their lot in life with this calculation, while Notre Dame and Ohio State aren't. And if you see a second team from the Patriot League picked over the leftovers from the Great Western Lacrosse League for the last spot in the field, this will definitely be one of the reasons why.
--- Patrick Stevens