OK, let's not jump too far ahead of ourselves here, but seriously, how 'bout that Jason Bergmann? No-hitter into the eighth, winds up with a two-hit, 10-strikeout gem and his first major-league win since Sept. 2005. All of a sudden, this guy is getting a curtain call at RFK, is the lead story on Baseball Tonight and is an instant sensation.
Here's the thing: Bergmann appears to be anything but a one-hit wonder. His spectacular performance last night may have caught most of the baseball world by surprise, but he's been building up to this for the last six weeks or so. And there's a very strong argument there hasn't been a more dominant pitcher in the majors over that span. Consider Bergmann's pitching lines over his last seven starts:
Apr 12 @ATL 6.0ip, 1h, 0er, 4bb, 8k
Apr 18 vsPHI 6.1ip, 5h, 3er, 1bb, 6k
Apr 24 @PHI 6.0ip, 3h, 1er, 2bb, 5k
Apr 29 vsNYM 7.0ip, 2h, 1er, 3bb, 6k
May 4 @CHI 6.0ip, 8h, 4er, 2bb, 4k
May 9 @MIL 6.0ip, 2h, 1er, 2bb, 2k
May 14 vsATL 8.0ip, 2h, 1er, 1bb, 10k
Let's see, over his last seven starts, spanning 45 1/3 innings, Bergmann has allowed a total of 11 earned runs on 23 hits, with 15 walks and 41 strikeouts. That's a 2.18 ERA with 4.6 hits allowed per nine innings and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. That's the definition of dominating.
So how come no one has noticed him until now? (Well, except for yours truly, who happened to do a big feature on Mr. Bergmann two weeks ago.) Because until last night, he had zero wins. That was hardly Jason's fault, considering his teammates scored only 17 runs in those seven outings, but it did prevent him from earning recognition outside of the die-hards in D.C.
No more. They know who Bergmann is now. He's the guy with the lowest opponent's batting average (.162) in the majors. He's the guy who outdueled John Smoltz twice. He's the guy who has allowed two hits or less four times this season already. And he's a guy who should be able to keep this up to some extent.
This isn't a case of a semi-talented pitcher catching opponents off-guard. Plenty of young hurlers burst onto the scene and have a great month or two, only to watch as veteran hitters start to figure him out and make adjustments. But Bergmann isn't beating guys by fooling them. He's beating them, plain and simple, with his "stuff." His fastball is running 91 to 93 mph, with movement. His slider is diving away from right-handed hitters around 85 mph, his curveball in the high 70s. He is simply blowing them away, and that's not the kind of thing that tends to change over time.
Obviously, you don't want to jump the gun too much with a young pitcher who has instant success. Six weeks ago, Bergmann was the 13th man on a 12-man pitching staff, a guy who didn't seem to have much of a future. Today, he's the best starter on the Nats' staff (with John Patterson and Shawn Hill both on the DL) and one of the most dominating pitchers in the big leagues. He may not be able to keep this pace up. But if the 2007 season was supposed to be all about identifying pieces for the long term, the discovery of Jason Bergmann could prove to a key development.